Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Pasarón (Pontevedra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Spain	TVG 2, Tv Galicia Europa


	Pontevedra		Levante

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.25
	3.3	3.2	2.25
	3.3	3	2.25	Watch
	3.44	3.05	2.21
	3.89	2.97	2.12	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.37	3.3	2.21
	3.3	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (4.11)	3.09 ↓ (3.51)	2.21 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
27.6%

Draw
30.2%

Levante
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

26.6%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

28.6%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontevedra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Pontevedra - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pontevedra will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Levante will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levante: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vizoso M. (G) 2. Fontan J. 20. Suarez P. 3. Irazu I. 23. Hernandez H. 14. Samuel 8. Novo I. 10. Yelko Pino (C) 17. Dominguez Penin X. 11. Chiqui 21. Charly	1. Fernandez A. (C) 31. Xavi Grande 5. Elgezabal U. 14. Cabello J. 29. Navarro M. 30. Fernandez V. 21. Lozano S. 17. Clemente O. 8. Algobia A. 12. Fabricio 38. Espi C.
Substitutes
7. Arnedo A. 18. de Almeida D. 6. Fajardo J. 19. Garay B. 5. Gomez M. 27. Marques D. 22. Mezdrea R. 9. Sanchez R. 1. Sousa E. (G)	24. Alvarez C. 7. Brugue R. 4. Dela 2. Garcia A. 23. Martinez P. 11. Morales J. L. 32. Primo A. (G) 20. Rey O. 9. Romero I. 16. Varela Pampin D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Navarro M. 🟥,
23', 1 - 0, Hernandez H. ⚽, Chiqui (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', Fontan J. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Fontan J. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Morales J. L. ⚽, Alvarez C. (A),
83', Samuel 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Chiqui ⚽, Fontan J. (A),
90+6', 4 - 1, Yelko Pino ⚽,

Preview

Pontevedra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Levante is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pontevedra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Levante is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.11.24	Pontevedra - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Coruxo - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Pontevedra - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Guijuelo - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Pontevedra - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTWW
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.24	Levante - Elche	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Granada - Levante	1:2 ✺
24.10.24	Levante - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Castellón - Levante	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Racing Santander - Levante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWLL

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