Match Info

LaLiga - Round 21

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DSports
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Sky Sport, TUDN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Levante		Elche

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.85
	2.22	3.45	3.2	Watch
	2.27	3.47	3.35
	2.23	3.41	3.28	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.2
	2.35	3.41	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.59)	3.37 ↑ (3.33)	3.21 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levante
42%

Draw
28.3%

Elche
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

28.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levante's performance.

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41%	38.5%	20.5%

Levante - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Levante will win (votes: 15 - 40.5%). Elche will win (votes: 7 - 18.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 40.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levante: 24.7% – 56.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Levante (votes: 3 - 30%). Elche (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Levante (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.54) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DC - Levante (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Elche (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Levante (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Elche (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ryan M. (G) 22. Toljan J. 4. Dela 3. Matturro A. 23. Sanchez M. 14. Raghouber U. 10. Martinez P. (C) 18. Losada I. 24. Alvarez C. 9. Romero I. 21. Etta Eyong K.	13. Pena I. (G) 7. Santiago Y. 3. Pedrosa A. 22. Affengruber D. 21. Petrot L. 11. Valera G. 19. Diangana G. 8. Aguado M. 14. Febas A. (C) 16. Neto M. 20. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
16. Arriaga K. 27. Cortes P. 1. Cunat P. (G) 19. Espi C. 15. Koyalipou G. 11. Morales J. 2. Moreno M. 8. Olasagasti J. A. 29. Perez N. 32. Primo A. (G) 20. Rey O. 12. Vencedor U.	9. Andre Silva 6. Bigas P. 32. Boayar A. 31. Delgado D. 4. Diaby B. 1. Dituro M. (G) 18. Donald J. 45. Iturbe A. (G) 17. Josan 30. Mendoza R. 5. Redondo Solari F. 38. Sanchez A.
Coaches
Castro L.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
38', Alvarez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Losada I. ↓, Cortes P. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Martinez P. ⚽, Toljan J. (A),
56', Petrot L. 🟨,
62', Neto M. ↓, Josan ↑,
67', Febas A. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Dela ⚽, Martinez P. (A),
70', Santiago Y. ↓, Boayar A. ↑,
70', Rodriguez A. ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
70', Diangana G. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
71', Andre Silva 🟨,
74', Etta Eyong K. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
74', Alvarez C. ↓, Olasagasti J. A. ↑,
84', Romero I. 🟨,
85', Aguado M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Boayar A. ⚽, Sanchez A. (A),
90+6', 3 - 2, Matturro A. ⚽, Olasagasti J. A. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levante won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Levante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Levante: Brugue R. (Knee Injury) Elgezabal U. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Elche: Chust V. (Yellow Cards) Fort H. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Levante: Garcia V. (Injury) Rey O. (Muscle Injury) Varela Pampin D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Elche: Bigas P. (Knee Injury) Donald J. (Injury) Mir R. (Muscle Injury) Nunez A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Levante won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Levante won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Levante: 0.23% Elche: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8:12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11:17	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Levante - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.68%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga
17.01.26	Real Madrid - Levante	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Levante - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Sevilla - Levante	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Levante - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Leonesa - Levante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWTL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
19.01.26	Elche - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.01.26	Betis - Elche	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.26	Valencia - Elche	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Elche - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Elche - Rayo Vallecano	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
29.08.25	Elche - Levante	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
10.05.25	Elche - Levante	1:3
16.11.24	Levante - Elche	1:1
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Elche - Levante	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.24	Levante - Elche	3:2
30.09.23	Elche - Levante	0:0
Spanish LaLiga
25.02.22	Levante - Elche	3:0

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