Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Salamanca

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.98	2.98
	2.34	2.97	3.41
	2.08	2.87	3.95	Watch
	2.36	3	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.87)	2.96 ↓ (3.3)	3.36 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
41%

Draw
31.4%

Salamanca
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

27.9%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

29.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Numancia's form might have worsened.

Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salamanca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Numancia - Salamanca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Salamanca (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Salamanca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Jony ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Pena H. ⚽,
50', Delgado C. 🟥,
71', 3 - 0, Jony ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Numancia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Salamanca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Salamanca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Numancia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.10.25	Numancia - Sámano	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sarriana - Numancia	4:2 ✺
28.09.25	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Bergantiños - Numancia	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Numancia - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWLW
- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.10.25	Salamanca - Sarriana	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sámano - Salamanca	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Salamanca - UD Ourense	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Salamanca	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Salamanca - Atlético Astorga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.03.25	Numancia - Salamanca	2:0
20.10.24	Salamanca - Numancia	1:1

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