Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Marino de Luanco		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.92	2.45
	2.57	3.07	2.7
	2.00	3.24	3.53	Watch
	2.91	2.99	2.49
	2.15	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2)	3.07 ↓ (3.24)	2.84 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marino de Luanco
37.4%

Draw
30.1%

Numancia
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marino de Luanco's form might have worsened.

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Numancia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marino de Luanco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marino de Luanco - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Jony ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Jony ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 2, Diaz D. ⚽,

Preview

Marino de Luanco is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Numancia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marino de Luanco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marino de Luanco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.10.25	Real Oviedo B - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Marino de Luanco - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Lealtad - Marino de Luanco	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	UD Ourense - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTWTW
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Numancia - Salamanca	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Numancia - Sámano	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sarriana - Numancia	4:2 ✺
28.09.25	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Bergantiños - Numancia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.03.25	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:0
26.10.24	Numancia - Marino de Luanco	1:0
16.01.21	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:0
18.10.20	Numancia - Marino de Luanco	3:1

Upcoming Matches