Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 34

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Pontevedra		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.33
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.75	3.35	4.4
	1.81	3.46	4.61
	1.77	3.42	4.6
	1.76	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.17)	3.38 ↑ (2.9)	4.39 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
52.1%

Draw
27%

San Sebastian Reyes
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

31.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

30.4%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontevedra's performance.

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Sebastian Reyes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontevedra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Pontevedra - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontevedra won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Pontevedra is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pontevedra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontevedra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.04.23	San Fernando - Pontevedra	4:2 ✺
15.04.23	Pontevedra - Mérida AD	1:5 ✺
09.04.23	Alcorcón - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Pontevedra - Córdoba	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Pontevedra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.04.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Ferrol	0:3 ✺
15.04.23	Fuenlabrada - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Real Madrid Castilla - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.09.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Pontevedra	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.12.19	San Sebastian Reyes - Pontevedra	4:1
07.04.19	Pontevedra - San Sebastian Reyes	3:1
18.11.18	San Sebastian Reyes - Pontevedra	2:1
11.02.18	San Sebastian Reyes - Pontevedra	1:0
24.09.17	Pontevedra - San Sebastian Reyes	3:0

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