Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 31

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday


	San Sebastian Reyes		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.88	2.55
	2.65	2.8	2.55
	2.45	2.9	2.85
	2.8	2.97	2.75
	2.72	3.02	2.66
	2.65	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.47)	2.91 ↑ (2.75)	2.66 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes
34.4%

Draw
31.3%

Ceuta
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

33.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

33.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceuta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Sebastian Reyes - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

SS Reyes is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceuta is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SS Reyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SS Reyes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.04.23	Real Madrid Castilla - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Celta de Vigo B	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWLL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.04.23	Ceuta - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Alcorcón - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
19.03.23	Ceuta - San Fernando	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Córdoba - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Ceuta - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.12.22	Ceuta - San Sebastian Reyes	3:1

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