Match Info

Cymru South - Round 18

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday


	Cambrian United		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.35	5.7
	1.48	4.71	5.52	Watch
	1.44	4	5.5
	1.42	4.25	6.18
	1.46	4.2	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.36)	4.3 ↓ (4.99)	5.65 ↓ (7.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambrian United
62.8%

Draw
21.1%

Pontypridd United
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

18.6%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

17.7%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambrian United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambrian United's form might have worsened.

Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambrian United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Cambrian United - Pontypridd United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', Angel L. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Eason L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Cambrian United is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambrian United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pontypridd	9	6	1	2	23:16	7	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambrian United
Welsh Cymru South
26.12.25	Ynyshir Albions - Cambrian United	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Cambrian United - Carmarthen Town	3:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
06.12.25	Cambrian United - Barry Town United	0:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
29.11.25	Aberystwyth Town - Cambrian United	1:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
21.11.25	Cambrian United - Pen-y-Bont	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
26.12.25	Pontypridd United - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
13.12.25	Pontypridd United - Colwyn Bay	0:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
05.12.25	Newport City - Pontypridd United	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
22.11.25	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
24.10.25	Pontypridd United - Cambrian United	2:4
01.01.25	Cambrian United - Pontypridd United	3:3
09.08.24	Pontypridd United - Cambrian United	1:3
18.04.22	Pontypridd United - Cambrian United	2:1
15.04.22	Cambrian United - Pontypridd United	1:2
Welsh Division 1
01.12.18	Pontypridd United - Cambrian United	0:1
Welsh FA Cup
07.10.17	Pontypridd United - Cambrian United	2:1 ET

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