Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Poole Town		Walton Casuals

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.9	3.1
	1.79	3.75	3.5
	1.88	3.82	3.7
	1.86	3.82	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.02)	3.82 ↑ (3.6)	3.46 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
49.7%

Draw
23.9%

Walton Casuals
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

16.9%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Walton Casuals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poole Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walton Casuals than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Walton Casuals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Poole Town - Walton Casuals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Walton Casuals could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Poole will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Poole won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Poole won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
19.02.22	Hayes & Yeading United - Poole Town	6:1 ✺
12.02.22	Poole Town - Merthyr Town	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Truro City - Poole Town	3:0 ✺
29.01.22	Poole Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
25.01.22	Hartley Wintney - Poole Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWL
- Walton Casuals
English Southern League South Division
12.02.22	Walton Casuals - Beaconsfield Town	3:0 ✺
05.02.22	Wimborne Town - Walton Casuals	0:0 ✺
29.01.22	Walton Casuals - Merthyr Town	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Swindon Supermarine - Walton Casuals	6:1 ✺
18.01.22	Kings Langley - Walton Casuals	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.11.21	Walton Casuals - Poole Town	2:4
23.11.19	Walton Casuals - Poole Town	0:3
05.02.19	Poole Town - Walton Casuals	3:1
17.11.18	Walton Casuals - Poole Town	0:4

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