Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Walton Casuals		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.5	4.5
	1.53	4.2	4.7
	1.57	4.29	5.09
	1.53	4.33	4.33
	1.54	4.25	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.51)	4.31 ↑ (4.2)	4.74 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walton Casuals
59.6%

Draw
21.2%

Merthyr Town
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

21.5%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1%

17.4%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walton Casuals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walton Casuals than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walton Casuals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Walton Casuals - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Walton Casuals is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Merthyr has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Walton Casuals could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Walton Casuals is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Walton Casuals won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Walton Casuals won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walton Casuals
English Southern League South Division
22.01.22	Swindon Supermarine - Walton Casuals	6:1 ✺
18.01.22	Kings Langley - Walton Casuals	0:1 ✺
15.01.22	Walton Casuals - Farnborough	0:0 ✺
08.01.22	Gosport Borough - Walton Casuals	1:0 ✺
01.01.22	Walton Casuals - Harrow Borough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTLW
- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
22.01.22	Merthyr Town - Metropolitan Police	2:3 ✺
15.01.22	Hartley Wintney - Merthyr Town	1:0 ✺
08.01.22	Merthyr Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
27.12.21	Merthyr Town - Yate Town	0:3 ✺
18.12.21	Tiverton Town - Merthyr Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.10.21	Merthyr Town - Walton Casuals	0:2
14.12.19	Merthyr Town - Walton Casuals	0:2
28.09.19	Walton Casuals - Merthyr Town	2:1
27.04.19	Merthyr Town - Walton Casuals	1:2
01.09.18	Walton Casuals - Merthyr Town	1:3

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