The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Perugia 55%
Draw 27%
Pordenone 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
26.7%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
17.2%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Pordenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-19.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pordenone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Perugia - Pordenone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Perugia has the most likely position - 11 (11.66%), has project points - 52, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (43.81%), has project points - 27, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (91%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
In this match Perugia is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.