Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 18

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Live


	Cremonese		Monza

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.7
	2.7	3.05	2.8
	2.75	3.1	2.7
	2.85	3.13	2.85
	2.7	3.1	2.7
	2.76	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.66)	3.11 ↓ (3.29)	2.75 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
34.7%

Draw
30.7%

Monza
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.7%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	43.3%	36.7%

Cremonese - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 6 - 20%). Monza will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 43.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.6% – 61%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 15).

Cremonese has the most likely position - 20 (36.86%), has project points - 28, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (71%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Monza has the most likely position - 13 (12.6%), has project points - 44, has currently - 18, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 53, importance 32, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 1.

Cremonese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Monza is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Cremonese: Acella C. (Injury) Chiriches V. (Muscle Injury) Radu I. (Elbow Injury) Sernicola L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Monza: Sensi S. (Broken ankle)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
09.01.23	Verona - Cremonese	2:0 ✺
04.01.23	Cremonese - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.12.22	Cremonese - Udinese	1:3 ✺
23.12.22	Torino - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
14.12.22	Cremonese - Desenzano Calvina	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLTW
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
07.01.23	Monza - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
04.01.23	Fiorentina - Monza	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.12.22	Monza - Torino	1:4 ✺
22.12.22	Lyon - Monza	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Lugano - Monza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.02.22	Cremonese - Monza	3:2
29.08.21	Monza - Cremonese	1:0
17.04.21	Monza - Cremonese	2:1
27.12.20	Cremonese - Monza	0:2
Italian Serie C Group A
04.03.15	Monza - Cremonese	1:1
09.11.14	Cremonese - Monza	0:1

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