Match Info

Date: 26 May 2022, Thursday

Location: Brianteo (Monza)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	DAZN Italia
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Monza		Pisa

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.87	3.3	4.2
	1.85	3.3	4.5
	1.86	3.2	4.3
	1.92	3.34	4.81
	1.85	3.2	4.6
	1.87	3.34	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.29)	3.28 ↑ (2.94)	4.48 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
50.4%

Draw
28.7%

Pisa
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

31.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monza's performance.

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pisa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pisa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	11.7%	10%

Monza - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 47 - 78.3%). Pisa will win (votes: 6 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 67.9% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Monza has the most likely position - 4 (100%), has project points - 67, has currently - 67, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a good chance of promoted (55%), has not chance of win league.

Pisa has the most likely position - 3 (100%), has project points - 67, has currently - 67, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (45%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 38, very big importance 100, match rating 69. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Monza is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Monza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
22.05.22	Monza - Brescia	2:1 ✺
18.05.22	Brescia - Monza	1:2 ✺
06.05.22	Perugia - Monza	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Monza - Benevento	3:0 ✺
25.04.22	Frosinone - Monza	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWL
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
21.05.22	Pisa - Benevento	1:0 ✺
17.05.22	Benevento - Pisa	1:0 ✺
06.05.22	Frosinone - Pisa	1:2 ✺
30.04.22	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
25.04.22	Lecce - Pisa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
19.02.22	Monza - Pisa	1:2
21.09.21	Pisa - Monza	2:1
12.02.21	Monza - Pisa	0:2
20.10.20	Pisa - Monza	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
21.01.18	Pisa - Monza	1:0
10.09.17	Monza - Pisa	0:0

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