Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 25

Date: 1 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Guido Teghil (Lignano Sabbiadro)


	Pordenone		Renate

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.4	4.6	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.25
	1.76	3.1	4.2
	1.59	3.32	4.8
	1.65	3.1	5.5
	1.65	3.35	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2)	3.32 ↑ (2.9)	4.84 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pordenone
54.2%

Draw
27.2%

Renate
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

31%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

29.7%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pordenone's performance.

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Renate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pordenone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Pordenone - Renate Predictions

Users Predictions: Pordenone will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 1.

Pordenone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Renate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Pordenone is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pordenone to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
29.01.23	Padova - Pordenone	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Pordenone - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Pordenone - Virtus Verona	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Juventus U23 - Pordenone	1:2 ✺
22.12.22	Pordenone - Triestina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTWW
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
29.01.23	Renate - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Juventus U23 - Renate	1:1 ✺
14.01.23	Renate - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Sangiuliano City Nova - Renate	2:2 ✺
23.12.22	Renate - Novara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
02.10.22	Renate - Pordenone	0:0
Italian Serie C Group B
16.02.19	Renate - Pordenone	1:1
21.10.18	Pordenone - Renate	2:1
06.05.18	Pordenone - Renate	1:1
17.12.17	Renate - Pordenone	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
06.02.16	Renate - Pordenone	0:2
27.09.15	Pordenone - Renate	0:0

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