Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta (Alessandria) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Giordani A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Uno


	Juventus U23		Renate

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.65
	2.12	3.15	2.95	Watch
	2.47	3.45	2.93
	2.23	3.27	3	Watch
	2.40	3.10	2.90
	2.22	3.08	2.99	Watch
	2.25	3.20	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.16)	3.21 ↑ (3.11)	2.9 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus U23
40.1%

Draw
28.4%

Renate
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.8%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Juventus U23 - Renate Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Juventus U23 will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 2. Rizzo N. 38. Corradi C. 18. Brugarello M. 15. Savio F. 5. Macca F. (C) 26. Ripani D. 16. Pagnucco F. 21. Merola A. 14. Elimoghale D. 9. Durmisi A.	30. Avella M. (G) 73. Minotti G. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 21. Riviera C. 11. Delcarro A. 10. Careccia S. 25. Vassallo F. 47. Kerrigan L. 92. Anelli N. 14. Cali M. 7. Italeng J.
Substitutes
11. Amaradio L. 30. Cat Berro S. (G) 1. Fuscaldo M. (G) 48. Grelaud J. 17. Guerra S. 27. Leone F. 24. Mazur P. 44. Montero A. 7. Oboavwoduo J. 8. Owusu A. 34. Turco S. 4. van Aarle S.	12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 17. Bonetti A. 29. Botrini T. 2. De Zen R. 8. Dore S. 23. Gobbo L. 72. Mastromonaco G. 13. Motoc A. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 15. Suarez M. 33. Tempre M. 4. Vigano F. 20. Zalazar S.
Coaches
Brambilla M.	Banchieri S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Durmisi A. ⚽, Merola A. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Anelli N. ⚽, Riviera C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vassallo F. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
56', Careccia S. 🟨,
62', Rizzo N. 🟨,
67', Ripani D. ↓, Owusu A. ↑,
67', Rizzo N. ↓, Turco S. ↑,
67', Careccia S. ↓, Ruiz Giraldo P. ↑,
70', Turco S. 🟨,
73', Suarez M. 🟨,
76', Auriletto S. 🟨,
78', 2 - 1, Durmisi A. ⚽, Macca F. (A),
79', Durmisi A. 🟨,
80', Suarez M. 🟨,
86', Kerrigan L. ↓, De Zen R. ↑,
86', Minotti G. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
86', Durmisi A. ↓, Guerra S. ↑,
88', Cali M. ↓, Bonetti A. ↑,
90+2', Italeng J. 🟥,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 17th in the Serie C - Play Out and 20th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus U23 won 1.

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Renate could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Juventus U23 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Juventus U23 has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:15 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Juventus U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Juventus U23	11	2	4	5	11:18	-7	10
20	Renate	11	0	5	6	9:16	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Juventus U23 - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.64%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group A
13.10.26	Juventus U23 - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Desenzano Calvina - Juventus U23	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Juventus U23 - AlbinoLeffe	3:5 ✺
17.09.26	Cittadella - Juventus U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLL
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.26	Renate - Giana Erminio	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Ospitaletto - Renate	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Renate - Treviso	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Renate - Dolomiti Bellunesi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Renate - Juventus U23	2:1 penalties
Italian Serie C Group A
22.01.23	Juventus U23 - Renate	1:1
17.09.22	Renate - Juventus U23	3:2
Italian Serie C Group B
12.05.22	Renate - Juventus U23	0:1
08.05.22	Juventus U23 - Renate	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
10.04.22	Juventus U23 - Renate	2:1
05.12.21	Renate - Juventus U23	2:0

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