Match Info

League One - Round 2

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
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Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
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Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Port Vale		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.4
	2.88	3.25	2.42	Watch
	2.92	3.4	2.49
	2.75	3.19	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.45
	2.76	3.36	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.86)	3.3 ↓ (3.46)	2.48 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
33.4%

Draw
28.5%

Cardiff City
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

28.1%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	12.5%	68.7%

Port Vale - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Cardiff will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cardiff (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Cardiff (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cardiff (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Cardiff (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marosi M. (G) 22. Debrah J. 24. Kyle John 5. Hall C. 2. Clark M. 7. Byers G. (C) 18. Croasdale R. 14. Ojo F. 15. Gordon L. 10. Tolaj L. 11. Curtis R.	13. Trott N. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 48. Lawlor D. 12. Chambers C. (C) 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. 11. Tanner O. 27. Colwill J. 10. Colwill R. 16. Willock C. 22. Salech Y.
Substitutes
29. Davies A. L. (G) 4. Heneghan B. 20. Richards R. 26. Shipley J. 9. Stockley J. 19. Waine B. 12. Walters R.	45. Ashford C. 39. Davies I. 2. Fish W. 24. King E. 47. Robinson C. 14. Turnbull D. 41. Turner M. (G)
Coaches
Moore D.	Barry-Murphy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Bagan J. 🟨,
54', Clark M. 🟨,
61', Colwill J. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
61', Lawlor D. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
61', Tanner O. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
77', Curtis R. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
77', Salech Y. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
83', Gordon L. ↓, Heneghan B. ↑,
90+1', Waine B. 🟨,
90+2', Willock C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
90+4', Ojo F. 🟨,

Preview

Port Vale has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cardiff is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Port Vale has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Inactive) Headley J. (Red Card) Lawrence-Gabriel J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cardiff: Ng P. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Robertson A. (Inactive) Salech Y. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Port Vale - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 33.26%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League One
02.08.25	Rotherham United - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Altrincham - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Port Vale - Birmingham City	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Bath City - Port Vale	1:5 ✺
28.06.25	Kidsgrove Athletic - Port Vale	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLWW
- Cardiff City
English League One
02.08.25	Cardiff City - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Notts County - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
23.07.25	Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Cardiff City - Southend United	3:0 ✺
09.07.25	Cardiff City - Johor Darul Takzim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
26.08.14	Port Vale - Cardiff City	2:3

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