Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 8

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Shamrock Park (Portadown)


	Portadown		Ballinamallard United

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.24	5.65
	1.42	4.4	5.85
	1.43	4.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.48)	4.35 ↓ (4.43)	5.7 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portadown
63.3%

Draw
20.8%

Ballinamallard United
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

20.7%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

16.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portadown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ballinamallard United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portadown that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ballinamallard United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Portadown - Ballinamallard United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portadown won 4.

Recent matches Portadown is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ballinamallard United is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ballinamallard United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Portadown is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Portadown won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Portadown won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portadown
Northern Irish Championship
09.09.23	Portadown - Annagh United	4:1 ✺
02.09.23	Harland & Wolff Welders - Portadown	1:0 ✺
25.08.23	Portadown - Bangor	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Portadown	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Portadown - Institute FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW
- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
16.09.23	Ballinamallard United - Institute FC	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Ballinamallard United - Bangor	0:3 ✺
02.09.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Ballinamallard United	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Dundela - Ballinamallard United	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Ballinamallard United - Knockbreda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish League Cup
26.10.21	Portadown - Ballinamallard United	1:0
Northern Irish Premiership
14.04.17	Portadown - Ballinamallard United	1:0
30.12.16	Ballinamallard United - Portadown	1:0
22.10.16	Ballinamallard United - Portadown	1:2
10.08.16	Portadown - Ballinamallard United	2:1
09.04.16	Portadown - Ballinamallard United	0:0
15.02.16	Ballinamallard United - Portadown	1:0

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