Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 28

Date: 16 February 2024, Friday

Location: Shamrock Park (Portadown)


	Portadown		Ballyclare Comrades

	1	X	2
	1.58	4	4.2
	1.57	4.2	4.75
	1.57	4.04	4.34
	1.53	4	4.33
	1.56	4.25	4.54
	1.58	4.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.61)	4.12 ↑ (4.1)	4.43 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portadown
57.7%

Draw
21.9%

Ballyclare Comrades
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

22.3%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

21.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portadown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ballyclare Comrades has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballyclare Comrades than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portadown won 3.

Portadown is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ballyclare Comrades is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Portadown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ballyclare Comrades have a series of guest games.

In this match Portadown is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Portadown to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Portadown won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Portadown won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portadown
Northern Irish Championship
10.02.24	Annagh United - Portadown	2:2 ✺
06.02.24	Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Dundela - Portadown	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Portadown - Dergview	3:2 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
16.01.24	Glenavon - Portadown	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTWW
- Ballyclare Comrades
Northern Irish Championship
06.02.24	Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades	2:1 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
03.02.24	Dungannon Swifts - Ballyclare Comrades	2:3 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
27.01.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Ballinamallard United	3:1 ✺
20.01.24	Institute FC - Ballyclare Comrades	2:0 ✺
13.01.24	Dergview - Ballyclare Comrades	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
06.02.24	Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades	2:1
19.08.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Portadown	2:1
28.02.20	Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades	0:2
15.11.19	Ballyclare Comrades - Portadown	0:1
06.08.19	Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades	5:0
31.03.18	Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades	2:0
17.02.18	Ballyclare Comrades - Portadown	1:0

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