Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 34

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Mourneview Park (Lurgan)


	Glenavon		Portadown

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.15	2.92
	2.47	3.38	2.87
	2.31	3.35	2.82	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.4	3	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.13)	3.2 ↓ (3.47)	2.91 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glenavon
39.1%

Draw
29%

Portadown
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26.5%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

25.8%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Portadown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Glenavon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Glenavon - Portadown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carney J. (G) 3. Burns P. 27. Carlin S. 28. Falls C. 18. Ferris N. 11. Mallon S. 36. McGerrigan L. 29. McGovern P. 6. McKeown B. (C) 2. McMullan J. 4. Murphy H.	40. Moore A. (G) 4. Altintop B. 7. Chapman L. 13. Fyfe E. 5. MacKinnon L. 21. Minzamba R. 19. Teelan J. 26. Thompson G. 18. Traynor A. 9. Ukek J. 6. Wilson L.
Substitutes
10. Campbell P. 5. Cartwright L. 23. Gilmore G. 24. Harkin M. 30. Lindsay C. 17. Lowe K. 32. Mountney J.	27. Annett R. 42. Carson J. 24. McCartan S. 30. Quinn B. 22. Scott J. 14. Tetteh G. 28. Towe A.
Coaches
O'Connor M.	Currie N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Ukek J. ⚽,
28', 🟨,
28', Fyfe E. 🟨,
31', Minzamba R. 🟨,
36', Chapman L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Minzamba R. ↓, Towe A. ↑,
73', Thompson G. ↓, McCartan S. ↑,
74', Teelan J. ↓, Carson J. ↑,
76', 🟨,
77', Wilson L. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Campbell P. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 2.

Glenavon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Portadown has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Glenavon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Glenavon won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Portadown: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Portadown	10	1	1	8	8:20	-12	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
20.03.26	Glenavon - Larne	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Crusaders - Glenavon	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Glenavon - Portadown	3:0 ✺
24.02.26	Ballymena United - Glenavon	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Bangor - Glenavon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWWTW
- Portadown
Northern Irish Premiership
21.03.26	Portadown - Crusaders	0:0 ✺
10.03.26	Linfield - Portadown	3:1 ✺
04.03.26	Portadown - Cliftonville	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Glenavon - Portadown	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
28.02.26	Glenavon - Portadown	3:0
26.12.25	Portadown - Glenavon	1:0
04.10.25	Portadown - Glenavon	3:1
01.04.25	Portadown - Glenavon	1:1
26.12.24	Glenavon - Portadown	2:0
23.11.24	Portadown - Glenavon	1:0
05.10.24	Glenavon - Portadown	2:1

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