Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 33

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Shamrock Park (Portadown)

Referee: Robinson J. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Portadown		Crusaders

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.3
	1.98	3.6	3.2
	2.01	3.91	3.35
	1.93	3.91	3.2	Watch
	2	3.5	3.25
	1.9	3.58	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.1)	3.67 ↑ (3.65)	3.28 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portadown
46.9%

Draw
25.1%

Crusaders
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

25.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

23.1%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portadown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portadown that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crusaders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Portadown - Crusaders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Moore A. (G) 4. Altintop B. 7. Chapman L. 13. Fyfe E. 5. MacKinnon L. 21. Minzamba R. 19. Teelan J. 28. Towe A. 18. Traynor A. 9. Ukek J. 6. Wilson L.	33. Tuffey J. (G) 42. Anderson L. 43. Barr L. 4. Blaney J. 22. Bruce C. 19. Bryden F. 27. Maguire T. 21. Nixon S. 29. Rough S. 6. Weir R. (C) 16. Williamson J.
Substitutes
12. Gibson J. 2. Isamala D. 20. Obhakhan A. 30. Quinn B. 22. Scott J. 14. Tetteh G. 26. Thompson G.	9. Brooks A. 1. Dibaga M. (G) 11. Dunlop E. 12. Easton E. 23. Mccart O. 7. McKechnie K. 10. Thorndike F.
Coaches
Currie N.	Caddell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Ukek J. ↓, Tetteh G. ↑,
23', Minzamba R. 🟨,
32', Towe A. 🟨,
45', Blaney J. ↓, Easton E. ↑,
45+1', Easton E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Towe A. ↓, Quinn B. ↑,
68', Wilson L. ↓, Thompson G. ↑,
68', Teelan J. ↓, Scott J. ↑,
68', Minzamba R. ↓, Obhakhan A. ↑,
71', Maguire T. ↓, Dunlop E. ↑,
82', Quinn B. 🟨,
88', Williamson J. ↓, Brooks A. ↑,

Preview

Portadown is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )

Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 4.

Portadown has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Crusaders is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Crusaders may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Portadown might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:38. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Portadown won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.3:1.5).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Portadown: 0.84% Crusaders: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Crusaders	10	5	0	5	15:18	-3	15
12	Portadown	10	1	1	8	8:20	-12	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portadown
Northern Irish Premiership
10.03.26	Linfield - Portadown	3:1 ✺
04.03.26	Portadown - Cliftonville	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Glenavon - Portadown	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Portadown - Larne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLLWW
- Crusaders FC
Northern Irish Premiership
14.03.26	Crusaders - Glenavon	0:3 ✺
10.03.26	Crusaders - Cliftonville	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Glentoran - Crusaders	5:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cliftonville - Crusaders	5:2 ✺
17.02.26	Ballymena United - Crusaders	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
06.12.25	Crusaders - Portadown	0:4
29.08.25	Portadown - Crusaders	2:1
25.01.25	Crusaders - Portadown	3:2
21.12.24	Portadown - Crusaders	1:0
21.09.24	Crusaders - Portadown	0:3
Northern Irish League Cup
07.11.23	Portadown - Crusaders	2:1
Northern Irish Premiership
18.03.23	Portadown - Crusaders	2:2

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