Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 11

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Seaview (Belfast)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Crusaders		Cliftonville

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.98
	4.25	3.95	1.65
	4.74	4.33	1.63
	4.48	4.23	1.59	Watch
	4.4	4	1.62
	4.67	3.94	1.66
	3.33	3.66	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.29)	3.93 ↑ (3.55)	1.72 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crusaders
22.3%

Draw
23.7%

Cliftonville
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

26.3%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

26.1%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crusaders's form might have worsened.

Cliftonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cliftonville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crusaders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cliftonville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Crusaders - Cliftonville Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Cliftonville will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cliftonville: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cliftonville (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dibaga M. (G) 42. Anderson L. (C) 43. Barr L. 9. Brooks A. 22. Bruce C. 19. Bryden F. 11. Dunlop E. 2. Forsythe K. 27. Maguire T. 23. McCart O. 29. Rough S.	31. Morrison P. (G) 4. Addis J. 14. Conlan L. 9. Curran R. 42. Fapetu A. 8. Hale R. 36. Hawthorne K. 28. Kelly J. 12. Leppard S. 27. McStravick L. 26. Toole J.
Substitutes
4. Blaney J. 12. Easton E. 30. Little R. 7. McKechnie K. 21. Nixon S. 10. Thorndike F. 33. Tuffey J. (G)	38. Carroll A. 21. Glynn M. 19. Gormley J. 24. Kelly A. 18. McCay C. 1. Ridd L. (G) 41. Sheridan J.
Coaches
Caddell D.	Magilton J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Gormley J. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 2.

Crusaders is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cliftonville has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cliftonville might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Cliftonville: 0.84% Crusaders: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Crusaders	10	5	0	5	15:18	-3	15
9	Cliftonville	10	4	0	6	12:12	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crusaders FC
Northern Irish Premiership
28.02.26	Glentoran - Crusaders	5:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cliftonville - Crusaders	5:2 ✺
17.02.26	Ballymena United - Crusaders	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Crusaders - Bangor	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Crusaders - Larne	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish Cup
07.03.26	Loughgall - Cliftonville	0:3 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
04.03.26	Portadown - Cliftonville	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Cliftonville - Linfield	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Cliftonville - Glentoran	0:4 ✺
21.02.26	Cliftonville - Crusaders	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
21.02.26	Cliftonville - Crusaders	5:2
26.12.25	Cliftonville - Crusaders	1:2
Northern Irish Cup
01.03.25	Crusaders - Cliftonville	1:2
Northern Irish Premiership
26.12.24	Crusaders - Cliftonville	2:0
01.11.24	Cliftonville - Crusaders	1:0
24.08.24	Crusaders - Cliftonville	1:1
16.04.24	Crusaders - Cliftonville	2:1

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