Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 31

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Ards		Portadown

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.9	1.73
	4	4	1.68
	3.77	3.92	1.7
	3.77	3.92	1.7
	3.4	3.9	1.73
	3.9	4.15	1.67
	3.55	3.95	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.97)	3.96 ↑ (3.68)	1.71 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ards
24.4%

Draw
22.8%

Portadown
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

24.8%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

23.2%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ards's form might have worsened.

Portadown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portadown's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ards, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portadown, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ards - Portadown Predictions

Users Predictions: Portadown will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', Miller M. ⚽,
19', Diau B. ⚽,
44', Fyfe E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', Barr Z. ⚽,

Preview

Ards is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Portadown is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ards won 2.

Ards has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Portadown is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portadown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Portadown will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ards won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Ards won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
02.03.24	Dundela - Ards	4:0 ✺
27.02.24	Newington - Ards	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Ards - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Ards - Knockbreda	1:2 ✺
09.02.24	Bangor - Ards	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Portadown
Northern Irish Championship
16.03.24	Institute FC - Portadown	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
10.03.24	Linfield - Portadown	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.03.24	Portadown - Cliftonville	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
24.02.24	Ballinamallard United - Portadown	1:2 ✺
20.02.24	Portadown - Newington	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
16.12.23	Portadown - Ards	4:2
30.09.23	Ards - Portadown	1:2
Club Friendly
19.09.20	Portadown - Ards	1:2
Northern Irish Championship
30.08.19	Ards - Portadown	2:4
Club Friendly
25.07.18	Ards - Portadown	1:0
Northern Irish Premiership
18.04.17	Ards - Portadown	3:2
11.02.17	Portadown - Ards	0:3

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