Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 28

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Porthmadog		Penrhyncoch

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.84	4.13
	1.72	3.96	3.96
	1.71	3.8	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	3.87 ↑ (3.61)	3.98 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porthmadog
53.7%

Draw
23.5%

Penrhyncoch
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

24.3%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

23%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porthmadog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Penrhyncoch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porthmadog than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Penrhyncoch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Porthmadog is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Porthmadog won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Porthmadog won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porthmadog FC
Welsh Cymru North
11.03.23	Porthmadog - Colwyn Bay	0:2 ✺
03.03.23	Druids - Porthmadog	1:3 ✺
25.02.23	Mold Alexandra - Porthmadog	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Porthmadog - Chirk AAA	0:5 ✺
11.02.23	Prestatyn Town - Porthmadog	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTLL
- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
18.03.23	Penrhyncoch - Holywell Town	0:5 ✺
11.03.23	Penrhyncoch - Mold Alexandra	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Chirk AAA - Penrhyncoch	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Penrhyncoch - Prestatyn Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
13.08.22	Penrhyncoch - Porthmadog	0:3
15.10.19	Porthmadog - Penrhyncoch	0:0
Welsh Cymru Alliance
05.01.19	Porthmadog - Penrhyncoch	4:2
25.04.18	Penrhyncoch - Porthmadog	1:0

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