Match Info

Cymru North - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Penrhyncoch		Holywell Town

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.15	1.5
	5.01	4.7	1.49
	4.65	4.63	1.57	Watch
	5	4	1.44
	5.43	4.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (4.61)	4.4 ↓ (4.71)	1.49 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penrhyncoch
18.3%

Draw
20.7%

Holywell Town
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

19.8%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

20.4%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penrhyncoch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Holywell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Penrhyncoch - Holywell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Edwards Z. ⚽,
44', Cooke J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
76', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrhyncoch won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Holywell Town is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Penrhyncoch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:22. (average 0.4:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Penrhyncoch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Penrhyncoch	10	0	1	9	4:30	-26	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
21.03.26	Flint Mountain - Penrhyncoch	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Penrhyncoch - Holyhead Hotspur	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Buckley Town - Penrhyncoch	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Penrhyncoch - Llandudno	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Penrhyncoch - Mold Alexandra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWLW
- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
21.03.26	Guilsfield - Holywell Town	4:4 ✺
14.03.26	Holywell Town - Caersws	3:1 ✺
06.03.26	Llandudno - Holywell Town	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Holywell Town - Denbigh Town	5:1 ✺
20.02.26	Buckley Town - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
11.10.25	Holywell Town - Penrhyncoch	4:1
30.11.24	Holywell Town - Penrhyncoch	2:1
14.09.24	Penrhyncoch - Holywell Town	0:1
18.03.23	Penrhyncoch - Holywell Town	0:5
01.10.22	Holywell Town - Penrhyncoch	2:0
23.04.22	Penrhyncoch - Holywell Town	1:3
20.11.21	Holywell Town - Penrhyncoch	5:0

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