Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 9

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Portimonense		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.55	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.91
	2.6	3.62	2.73
	2.45	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.54	3.5	2.67	Watch
	2.55	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.51)	3.46 ↑ (3.42)	2.72 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
37.6%

Draw
27.5%

Estoril Praia
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

27.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

28%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Portimonense - Estoril Praia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Estoril will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 44. Pedrao 43. Alemao 22. Relvas F. 33. Igor Formiga 11. Carlinhos (C) 13. Dener 18. Costa G. 7. Jasper S. 37. Rildo 77. Varela H.	31. Marcelo Carne (G) 3. Vital B. (C) 5. Volnei Feltes 23. Alvaro P. 21. Gomes R. 83. Koindredi K. 8. Holsgrove J. 78. Araujo T. 10. Guitane R. 9. Marques A. 91. Heriberto Tavares
Substitutes
71. Adeniran D. 19. Carrillo R. 1. Gabriel Souza (G) 25. Lucas Ventura 8. Mauricio 27. Oliveira G. M. 9. Paulinho 14. Seck M. 99. Zinho	11. Cassiano 82. Fernandes M. 20. Joao Carlos 99. Leite D. (G) 33. Marques J. 64. Ndiaye M. 2. Parra R. 28. Pavlic I. 79. Pina W.
Coaches
Paulo Sergio	Seabra V.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Estoril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Portimonense have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Portimonense: Nakamura K. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Portimonense: Luan Campos (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Taça de Portugal
20.10.23	Covilhã - Portimonense	1:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.10.23	Porto - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Vizela - Portimonense	2:3 ✺
24.09.23	Portimonense - Benfica	1:3 ✺
17.09.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Portimonense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WLWLW
- Estoril Praia
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Sintrense - Estoril Praia	0:5 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.10.23	Estoril Praia - Benfica	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Estoril Praia	3:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
27.09.23	Leixões - Estoril Praia	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
23.09.23	Estoril Praia - Vizela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
15.04.23	Estoril Praia - Portimonense	0:1
30.10.22	Portimonense - Estoril Praia	1:1
12.03.22	Estoril Praia - Portimonense	2:0
24.10.21	Portimonense - Estoril Praia	0:2
14.04.18	Portimonense - Estoril Praia	0:1
04.12.17	Estoril Praia - Portimonense	0:0

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