Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	Bold+, Sport Live
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, TVP 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
World	Onefootball


	Estoril Praia		Benfica

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.75	1.25	Watch
	10.5	5.9	1.24	Watch
	10.74	6.8	1.27
	9.79	5.97	1.29	Watch
	9.5	6	1.25	Watch
	10.7	6.52	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.12 ↑ (8.19)	6.16 ↑ (5.87)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
9.4%

Draw
15.4%

Benfica
75.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

16.1%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

15.5%

75%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Estoril Praia - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Benfica will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 4% – 71%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Robles J. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 25. Bacher F. 4. Ferro 20. Costa G. 10. Holsgrove J. 12. Carvalho J. 8. Xeka 21. Pizzi (C) 14. Begraoui Y. 19. Lacximicant A.	1. Trubin A. (G) 6. Bah A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 44. Araujo T. 26. Dahl S. 8. Aursnes F. 20. Rios R. 25. Prestianni G. 27. Rafa Silva 21. Schjelderup A. 14. Pavlidis V.
Substitutes
24. Amaral P. 44. Boma K. 31. Dias D. (G) 97. Gomes L. 99. Guitane R. 7. Lominadze N. 9. Marques A. 91. Montes J. 70. Peixinho	18. Barreiro L. 7. Bruma 17. Dedic A. 9. Ivanovic F. 11. Lukebakio D. 16. Manu 4. Silva A. 24. Soares S. (G) 10. Sudakov G.
Coaches
Cathro I.	Mourinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Rios R. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Bah A. ⚽, Araujo T. (A),
16', 0 - 3, Rafa Silva ⚽, Prestianni G. (A),
22', Costa G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ferro ↓, Boma K. ↑,
46', Costa G. ↓, Amaral P. ↑,
47', Bah A. 🟨,
52', Lacximicant A. 🟨,
58', Pizzi ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
65', Guitane R. 🟨,
68', Prestianni G. 🟨,
68', Bah A. ↓, Dedic A. ↑,
68', Rafa Silva ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
68', Prestianni G. ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
68', Lacximicant A. ↓, Peixinho ↑,
78', Xeka ↓, Lominadze N. ↑,
80', Aursnes F. ↓, Manu ↑,
84', Schjelderup A. ↓, Bruma ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Peixinho ⚽, Boma K. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 1.

Recent form of Estoril has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Benfica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Benfica is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Estoril: Bimai L. (Inactive) Carvalho P. (Yellow Cards) Tsoungui A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Estoril: Jandro (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 19:46. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.8:2.2).

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Benfica: 26.78% Estoril: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22:7	15	16
18	Estoril	8	0	2	6	4:12	-8	2

Last Results with these Odds

Benfica - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 72.3%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
10.05.26	Alverca - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Braga - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
20.04.26	Moreirense - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Estoril Praia - Porto	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLLL
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
11.05.26	Benfica - Braga	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Famalicão - Benfica	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Benfica - Moreirense	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Benfica - Nacional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
03.01.26	Benfica - Estoril Praia	3:1
03.05.25	Estoril Praia - Benfica	1:2
23.12.24	Benfica - Estoril Praia	3:0
10.03.24	Benfica - Estoril Praia	3:1
Portuguese League Cup
24.01.24	Benfica - Estoril Praia	1:2 penalties
Liga Portugal
07.10.23	Estoril Praia - Benfica	0:1
23.04.23	Benfica - Estoril Praia	1:0

Upcoming Matches