Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 6

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Estoril Praia		Vizela

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.75	Watch
				Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.56	3.5	2.84
	2.4	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.54	3.42	2.72	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)	3.31 ↓ (3.33)	2.74 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
37.3%

Draw
28.4%

Vizela
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28.5%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

28.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Estoril Praia - Vizela Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Vizela will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marcelo Carne (G) 18. Cabaco E. 3. Vital B. 23. Alvaro P. 21. Gomes R. 82. Fernandes M. 8. Holsgrove J. 78. Araujo T. 10. Guitane R. 11. Cassiano (C) 33. Marques J.	97. Buntic F. (G) 82. Costa Silva T. 3. Wilson Valdez B. R. 5. Anderson Jesus 6. Matheus Pereira 20. Samu (C) 22. Busnic A. 29. Soro A. 79. Moreira N. 17. Lacava M. 99. Essende S.
Substitutes
25. Bamidele Y. 91. Heriberto Tavares 20. Joao Carlos 83. Koindredi K. 99. Leite D. (G) 9. Marques A. 2. Parra R. 6. Soares A. 5. Volnei Feltes	12. Bustamante R. 25. Escoval R. 8. Mendez A. 90. Nascimento D. 32. Novillo J. 23. Rashid O. 1. Ruberto F. (G) 14. Saint-Louis D. 9. Unzueta I.
Coaches
Pacheco A.	Villar P.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Vizela: Lebedenko O. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Estoril won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
17.09.23	Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia	5:3 ✺
03.09.23	Estoril Praia - Boavista	1:2 ✺
25.08.23	Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia	2:1 ✺
20.08.23	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Arouca - Estoril Praia	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- FC Vizela
Liga Portugal
16.09.23	Vizela - Benfica	1:2 ✺
01.09.23	Vizela - Gil Vicente	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Vizela	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Vizela - Arouca	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	Sporting Lisbon - Vizela	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
04.03.23	Estoril Praia - Vizela	0:3
12.09.22	Vizela - Estoril Praia	0:1
02.04.22	Estoril Praia - Vizela	1:2
06.11.21	Vizela - Estoril Praia	1:1
Portuguese Liga 2
03.04.21	Vizela - Estoril Praia	1:1
29.11.20	Estoril Praia - Vizela	2:2

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