Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Vieira B. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV4


	Portimonense		Leiria

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.6	2.2	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	2.92	3.45	2.25
	3.37	3.54	2.17
	3.25	3.36	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.27	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.96)	3.42 ↓ (3.53)	2.21 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Portimonense
30.9%

Draw
27.1%

Leiria
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

26.7%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.2%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Portimonense - Leiria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Cibois S. (G) 73. Junior M. 33. Grolli D. 32. Jarleysom 5. Heitor 15. Xavier 31. Edney 17. Joao Reis 18. Mamede 9. Monteiro T. (C) 7. Djassi D.	98. Joao Bravim (G) 68. Maga 16. Ze Pedro 6. Rodriguez G. 3. Baro M. 45. Mendes J. 17. Lucho Vega 21. Pires M. 10. van der Gaag J. 9. Munoz J. (C) 19. Fernandez P.
Substitutes
2. Abel A. 90. Canario F. 21. Dauda M. 19. Dju M. 36. Douglas Friedrich (G) 40. Joao Neto 8. Lobato S. 10. Mateus Santos 23. Ze Gabriel	1. Carrasco S. (G) 41. Daniel Borges 20. Gomes B. 86. Michel D. 7. Quizera F. 5. Rofino V. G. 78. Santos J. 15. Silva J. 52. Sylla H.
Coaches
Fernandes T.	Pereira F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Baro M. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Baro M. (Own goal),
35', Pires M. 🟨,
36', Heitor 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Baro M. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
46', Lucho Vega ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
60', Heitor ↓, Lobato S. ↑,
62', Pires M. ↓, Michel D. ↑,
65', Maga 🟨,
70', 🟨,
75', van der Gaag J. ↓, Gomes B. ↑,
77', Gomes B. 🟨,
79', Maga ↓, Sylla H. ↑,
83', Lobato S. 🟨,
83', Xavier ↓, Ze Gabriel ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Ze Pedro ⚽,
88', Djassi D. ↓, Dauda M. ↑,
88', Mamede ↓, Mateus Santos ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Portimonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Leiria has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Portimonense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
27.09.25	Académico de Viseu - Portimonense	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Vitória de Sernache - Portimonense	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.09.25	Portimonense - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Benfica B - Portimonense	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Portimonense - Vizela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLWT
- UD Leiria
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Sacavenense - Leiria	2:4 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.09.25	Porto B - Leiria	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Leiria - Torreense	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paços de Ferreira - Leiria	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
26.01.25	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0
17.08.24	Portimonense - Leiria	0:3
Taça de Portugal
20.11.20	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0
25.09.16	Leiria - Portimonense	3:2 penalties

Upcoming Matches