The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portimonense 34.5%
Draw 29%
Leixões 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
31.9%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Portimonense - Leixões Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dudu (G) 73. Junior M. 6. Neves S. 3. Jarleysom 2. Edney 15. Xavier 8. Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 17. Reis J. (C) 18. Mamede 7. Djassi D. 11. Duda
1. Simao (G) 77. Paulinho (C) 4. Matheus Costa 3. Figueiredo L. 30. Serif N. 7. Agra S. 80. Assuncao J. 22. Araujo C. 10. Barbosa R. 33. Luccas Paraizo 35. Rochez B.
Substitutes
70. Aguas G. 19. Cassama M. 23. Cibois S. (G) 21. da Rocha Y. 80. Favero F. 4. Italo Cabelinho 20. Okereke C. 44. Rodrigues D. 36. Thauan Lara 93. Welinton Junior 38. Wermeson 9. Yepie Yepie S.
17. Arthur Baggio 21. De Armas A. 63. Faria H. 2. Fonseca F. 71. Kaique 8. Miguel Sousa 99. Moshood M. 41. Nolasco 88. Pina R. 44. Semeu 15. Simaozinho 51. Stefanovic I. (G)
Coaches
Martins da Costa D. A.
Fangueiro C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Paulinho 🟨,
36', Mamede 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Rochez B. ⚽, Araujo C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Paulinho ↓, Fonseca F. ↑,
46', Junior M. ↓, da Rocha Y. ↑,
46', Pancadas Casimiro J. D. ↓, Cassama M. ↑,
59', Assuncao J. ↓, De Armas A. ↑,
68', Djassi D. ↓, Welinton Junior ↑,
68', Mamede ↓, Thauan Lara ↑,
71', Luccas Paraizo ↓, Kaique ↑,
71', Agra S. ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Rochez B. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Barbosa R. ↓, Semeu ↑,
85', Cassama M. 🟨,
85', Fonseca F. 🟨,
86', Reis J. ↓, Wermeson ↑,
88', Kaique 🟨,
90+6', Jarleysom 🟨,
90+6', Xavier 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 1.
In recent matches, Portimonense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Leixões may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Leixoes
6
3
1
2
8:6
2
10
11
Portimonense
6
2
1
3
4:6
-2
7
Last Results with these Odds
Portimonense - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.69%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Leixões - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.44%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.