Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 16

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Estrela da Amadora U23		Gil Vicente U23

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.5	2.78
	2.31	3.45	2.95
	2.27	3.59	2.85	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.63
	2.22	3.35	2.86	Watch
	2.25	3.33	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (3.13)	3.44 ↓ (3.56)	2.81 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora U23
40.9%

Draw
26.6%

Gil Vicente U23
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

26.1%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.6%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estrela da Amadora U23's performance.

Gil Vicente U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gil Vicente U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora U23 than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estrela da Amadora U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente U23 than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gil Vicente U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estrela da Amadora U23 - Gil Vicente U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+9', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Estrela U23 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gil Vicente U23 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Estrela U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Estrela U23 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Estrela U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gil Vicente U23	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
18	Estrela U23	7	1	2	4	6:13	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
28.01.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Farense U23	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Vizela U23	4:0 ✺
14.01.26	Leiria U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:4 ✺
10.01.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Estoril U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWL
- Gil Vicente U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
27.01.26	Portimonense U23 - Gil Vicente U23	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Farense U23 - Gil Vicente U23	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Gil Vicente U23 - Rio Ave U23	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Vizela U23 - Gil Vicente U23	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Gil Vicente U23 - Leiria U23	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
22.04.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Gil Vicente U23	0:2
11.02.25	Gil Vicente U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	0:1
27.02.24	Gil Vicente U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	3:3
09.01.24	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Gil Vicente U23	3:1

Estrela da Amadora U23 - Gil Vicente U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide