The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Hearts of Pine 45.2%
Draw 28.9%
Naples 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
30.3%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
30.8%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Hearts of Pine's performance.
Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naples might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Hearts of Pine that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naples could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morse H. (G) 6. Mohamed M. 66. Green K. 22. Evans B. 99. Drack J. 11. Kamara J. 8. Poon-Angeron M. (C) 18. Barbosa D. 10. Wright O. 14. Washington T. 9. Camara A.
1. Delgado L. (C) 4. Glasser M. 5. Mastrantonio L. 31. Rose T. 3. Cisneros J. 30. Cerro I. 8. Osorio J. 23. Mesias A. 7. Gray T. 18. Bachstein D. 9. Miglietti G.
Substitutes
25. Espinosa E. 44. Faye S. 21. Georgallides K. 35. Huck T. 98. Kidd M. 23. Oladapo K. (G) 32. Terzaghi E.
19. Arevalo W. 10. Ferrin A. 12. Gay H. 99. Grant J. (G) 14. O'Connor K. 21. Torrellas M. 22. Yoder J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Wright O. ⚽, Drack J. (A),
44', Barbosa D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Miglietti G. ↓, O'Connor K. ↑,
64', Washington T. 🟨,
74', Kamara J. 🟨,
74', Camara A. ↓, Kidd M. ↑,
74', Kamara J. ↓, Georgallides K. ↑,
76', Gray T. ↓, Arevalo W. ↑,
77', Rose T. 🟨,
84', Mesias A. ↓, Gay H. ↑,
85', Kidd M. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Glasser M. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Naples may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Hearts of Pine has had a series of away games.
Recently, Naples has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hearts of Pine won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Hearts of Pine won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Argentina
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Morse H. (G) 
Green K. 
Kamara J. 
Poon-Angeron M. (C) 
Barbosa D. 
Wright O. 
Camara A. 
Glasser M. 
Mastrantonio L. 
Faye S. 
Georgallides K. 
Terzaghi E. 
Arevalo W. 
O'Connor K. 
Torrellas M. 
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