Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Paradise Coast Sports Complex (Naples, FL) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Osmanovic E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	19:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+


	Naples		Orlando City

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.1	1.62	Watch
	4.05	3.85	1.75
	4.23	3.81	1.78
	4.12	4.18	1.65	Watch
	4	3.4	1.73
	4.43	3.82	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.82)	3.86 ↓ (4.18)	1.71 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naples
22.5%

Draw
23.8%

Orlando City
53.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.1%

22.1%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

19.9%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Naples - Orlando City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Naples will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Orlando City will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delgado L. (C) 4. Glasser M. 5. Mastrantonio L. 22. Yoder J. 3. Cisneros J. 23. Mesias A. 21. Torrellas M. 14. O'Connor K. 11. Garcia C. 9. Miglietti G. 10. Ferrin A.	12. Otero J. (G) 21. Miller N. 4. Brekalo D. (C) 3. Gomez A. 19. Taifi Z. 5. Luis Otavio 8. Ojeda B. 29. Reid-Brown T. 14. Spicer T. 22. Ellis J. 34. Tsukada Y.
Substitutes
18. Bachstein D. 30. Cerro I. 12. Gay H. 99. Grant J. (G) 7. Gray T. 8. Osorio J. 31. Rose T.	77. Angulo I. 20. Atuesta E. 71. Crepeau M. (G) 25. Guske C. 10. Ojeda M. 87. Pasalic M. 11. Tiago
Coaches
Poland M.	Perelman M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Spicer T. ⚽, Ojeda B. (A),
40', Brekalo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brekalo D. ↓, Guske C. ↑,
56', Miglietti G. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
57', Mesias A. ↓, Bachstein D. ↑,
59', Ojeda B. ↓, Atuesta E. ↑,
59', Tsukada Y. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
59', Reid-Brown T. ↓, Angulo I. ↑,
71', Garcia C. 🟨,
76', Spicer T. ↓, Tiago ↑,
88', Ferrin A. ↓, Cerro I. ↑,
90+7', Ellis J. 🟨,
90+8', Guske C. 🟨,

Preview

Naples is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Orlando City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Naples may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Naples has had a series of home games.

Recently, Orlando City has had a series of away games.

Orlando City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Naples
USL League One
11.04.26	Naples - Sarasota Paradise	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Naples - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Naples - America CFL Spurs	3:0 ✺
USL League One
28.03.26	Naples - Forward Madison	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Richmond Kickers - Naples	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLW
- Orlando City
MLS
12.04.26	Columbus Crew - Orlando City	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Los Angeles - Orlando City	6:0 ✺
21.03.26	Nashville SC - Orlando City	5:0 ✺
14.03.26	Orlando City - CF Montréal	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	New York City - Orlando City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLWL

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