Match Info

USL League One

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Fitzpatrick Stadium (Portland, ME)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Portland Hearts of Pine		One Knoxville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	3.05	2.68
	2.43	3.2	2.98
	2.86	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.75
	2.4	3.54	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (3.04)	3.2 ↑ (3.05)	2.7 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Hearts of Pine
36.9%

Draw
28.9%

One Knoxville
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

29.5%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Hearts of Pine's performance.

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and One Knoxville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Portland Hearts of Pine - One Knoxville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morse H. (G) 6. Mohamed M. 44. Faye S. 66. Green K. 14. Washington T. 2. Jones-Riley J. 11. Kamara J. 5. Lopez M. (C) 8. Poon-Angeron M. 77. Wada M. 10. Wright O.	25. Garibay J. (G) 26. Brown J. 4. Skelton J. (C) 3. McRobb F. 2. Tiao C. 6. Caputo A. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 10. Gill R. 17. Goling M. 72. Rodrigues B. P. 9. Krioutchenkov D.
Substitutes
18. Barbosa D. 9. Camara A. 22. Evans B. 98. Kidd M. 70. Kunga L. 23. Oladapo K. (G) 41. Scarlett Z.	89. Baker T. 13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 7. Diene B. 22. Perkins W. 21. Zarokostas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Wright O. 🟨,
23', Wada M. ↓, Kidd M. ↑,
31', Faye S. 🟨,
35', Krioutchenkov D. 🟨,
45+3', Mohamed M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Krioutchenkov D. ↓, Diene B. ↑,
49', Jones-Riley J. 🟨,
62', Jones-Riley J. ↓, Scarlett Z. ↑,
62', Lopez M. ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
64', Gill R. ↓, Zarokostas S. ↑,
66', Rodrigues B. P. 🟨,
68', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Baker T. ↑,
76', Poon-Angeron M. ↓, Kunga L. ↑,
76', Wright O. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
81', Scarlett Z. 🟨,
82', Brown J. ↓, Perkins W. ↑,
82', Murphy Jr. J. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
89', Washington T. 🟨,

Preview

One Knoxville is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hearts of Pine may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

One Knoxville might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43:53	-10	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One
28.03.26	Sarasota Paradise - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	AV Alta - Portland Hearts of Pine	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
17.03.26	Vermont Green - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:0 ✺
USL League One
14.03.26	New York Cosmos - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Spokane Velocity - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWL
- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
04.04.26	Sarasota Paradise - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Asheville City - One Knoxville	1:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
24.03.26	One Knoxville - Corpus Christi	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
18.03.26	Vistula Garfield - One Knoxville	1:3 ✺
USL League One
14.03.26	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
10.10.25	One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:1
02.08.25	One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:0
04.05.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - One Knoxville	1:1

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