Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Paradise Coast Sports Complex (Naples, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Naples		Sarasota Paradise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.20	3.25
	2.02	3.10	3.40
	2.07	3.15	3.46
	1.72	3.65	4.44	Watch
	2	3	3.25
	2.02	3.08	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.74)	3.2 ↓ (3.48)	3.56 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naples
46.1%

Draw
28.4%

Sarasota Paradise
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.1%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

25.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naples's form might have worsened.

Sarasota Paradise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naples, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Naples - Sarasota Paradise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Grant J. (G) 20. Yearwood J. 9. Miglietti G. 22. Yoder J. 3. Cisneros J. 21. Torrellas M. (C) 8. Osorio J. 12. Gay H. 30. Cerro I. 11. Garcia C. 18. Bachstein D.	23. Amedeka R. (G) 3. Valentine R. 4. Watters D. (C) 20. Tainio M. 2. Burlew R. 7. Bryant E. 22. Backstrand H. 9. Bender J. 16. Rodriguez A. 11. Karani S. 50. Brulinski D.
Substitutes
19. Arevalo W. 16. Bulai-Tudor A. 1. Delgado L. (G) 10. Ferrin A. 34. Fitzgerald L. (G) 7. Gray T. 5. Mastrantonio L. 23. Mesias A. 14. O'Connor K.	51. Kend A. 18. Krueger B. 27. O'Dwyer C. 14. Pettersen J. 46. Roed S. 52. Sanchez K. 6. Stretch C. 1. Sutton A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Watters D. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
40', Osorio J. 🟨,
43', Backstrand H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tainio M. ↓, Pettersen J. ↑,
46', Backstrand H. ↓, Kend A. ↑,
46', Garcia C. ↓, Bulai-Tudor A. ↑,
46', Burlew R. ↓, Krueger B. ↑,
48', 🟨,
48', Kend A. 🟨,
55', Osorio J. ↓, O'Connor K. ↑,
60', Yoder J. 🟨,
65', Bender J. ↓, Stretch C. ↑,
69', Yearwood J. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
69', Bachstein D. ↓, Ferrin A. ↑,
76', Karani S. ↓, O'Dwyer C. ↑,
77', Cisneros J. 🟨,
82', Yoder J. ↓, Mastrantonio L. ↑,
82', Cerro I. ↓, Arevalo W. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, O'Dwyer C. ⚽,
85', Krueger B. 🟨,
88', Bryant E. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
90+4', Bulai-Tudor A. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Naples may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Naples is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Naples won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Naples won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Naples
USL League One
03.06.26	Naples - Charlotte Independence	1:5 ✺
30.05.26	Union Omaha - Naples	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Naples - Westchester SC	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
17.05.26	Naples - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
13.05.26	Boise - Naples	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL
- Sarasota Paradise
USL League One
30.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Boise - Sarasota Paradise	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Spokane Velocity - Sarasota Paradise	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - AV Alta	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
13.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - Sporting Jacksonville	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
11.04.26	Naples - Sarasota Paradise	2:0
US Open Cup
18.03.25	Sarasota Paradise - Naples	1:2

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