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Current Win Probability
Spokane Velocity 57%
Draw 22.5%
Portland Hearts of Pine 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.9%
24.5%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
24%
20.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spokane Velocity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Spokane Velocity - Portland Hearts of Pine Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Merancio C. (G) 4. Fitch S. 20. Covi I. 3. Spielman N. 33. Mensah M. 77. Lewis A. (C) 34. Elmasnaouy A. 14. Hernandez M. 8. Vinyals N. 7. Gallardo J. 9. Brett N.
1. Morse H. (G) 26. Hata E. 66. Green K. 22. Evans B. 99. Drack J. 11. Kamara J. 98. Kidd M. (C) 4. Letayf D. 7. Varela W. 16. Gonzalez D. 24. Felipe
Substitutes
17. Alexandre M. 10. Gil L. 1. Lewis S. (G) 5. Margvelashvili G. 42. Meredith B. 13. Opara L. 18. Waldeck D.
18. Barbosa D. 9. Camara A. 25. Espinosa E. 21. Georgallides K. 35. Huck T. 2. Jones-Riley J. 23. Oladapo K. (G)
Coaches
Veidman L.
Murphy B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Vinyals N. ⚽, Gallardo J. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Brett N. ⚽, Vinyals N. (A),
45+3', Hernandez M. 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 0, Lewis A. ⚽, Vinyals N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Hernandez M. ↓, Waldeck D. ↑,
62', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
64', 3 - 1, Felipe ⚽, Kidd M. (A),
65', Varela W. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Camara A. ⚽,
74', Kamara J. ↓, Georgallides K. ↑,
74', Letayf D. ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
75', Vinyals N. 🟨,
75', Gallardo J. ↓, Alexandre M. ↑,
76', Elmasnaouy A. ↓, Meredith B. ↑,
82', Vinyals N. ↓, Gil L. ↑,
86', Mensah M. 🟨,
90+1', Brett N. ↓, Margvelashvili G. ↑,
90+2', Murphy B. 🟨,
90+7', Spielman N. 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 3, Gonzalez D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 14th).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Hearts of Pine could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Spokane has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Spokane is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Spokane has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:10 (averaging 1.3:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spokane against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Merancio C. (G) 
Fitch S. 
Mensah M. 
Lewis A. (C) 
Vinyals N. 
Hata E. 
Kamara J. 
Varela W. 
Felipe 
Alexandre M. 
Margvelashvili G. 
Opara L. 
Barbosa D. 
Camara A. 
Georgallides K. 
Huck T. 
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