Match Info

USL League One

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Fitzpatrick Stadium (Portland, ME)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Portland Hearts of Pine		Richmond Kickers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.50	3.80
	1.80	3.45	3.75
	1.77	3.71	4.17
	1.78	3.78	4.13	Watch
	1.75	3.40	3.90
	1.75	3.55	4.04	Watch
	1.92	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.92)	3.53 ↑ (3.35)	3.88 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Hearts of Pine
50.9%

Draw
25.7%

Richmond Kickers
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

24%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Hearts of Pine that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richmond Kickers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Portland Hearts of Pine - Richmond Kickers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morse H. (G) 2. Jones-Riley J. 66. Green K. 44. Faye S. 99. Drack J. 21. Georgallides K. 8. Poon-Angeron M. (C) 18. Barbosa D. 16. Gonzalez D. 10. Wright O. 9. Camara A.	1. Fillion Y. (G) 26. Murana M. 34. Howell B. 4. Layton S. 22. Vinberg S. 3. Anderson H. 11. Pannholzer T. 18. Amer A. 10. Seufert N. 9. Kirkland J. 12. O'Malley O.
Substitutes
25. Espinosa E. 22. Evans B. 35. Huck T. 11. Kamara J. 98. Kidd M. 5. Lopez M. 23. Oladapo K. (G)	2. Barnathan D. 23. Freeman T. 44. Gallegos A. 7. Johnson L. 99. Moore D. 41. Richman A. 35. Sneddon J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Green K. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Kirkland J. ⚽,
25', Fillion Y. 🟨,
25', Morse H. 🟨,
25', Faye S. 🟨,
39', Amer A. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Wright O. ⚽, Jones-Riley J. (A),
60', 3 - 1, Georgallides K. ⚽,
63', O'Malley O. ↓, Freeman T. ↑,
65', Wright O. 🟨,
70', 4 - 1, Camara A. ⚽, Georgallides K. (A),
71', Seufert N. ↓, Barnathan D. ↑,
71', Wright O. ↓, Kidd M. ↑,
71', Kirkland J. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
75', Georgallides K. ↓, Kamara J. ↑,
75', Poon-Angeron M. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
81', Anderson H. ↓, Moore D. ↑,
82', Gonzalez D. ↓, Huck T. ↑,
82', Jones-Riley J. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
87', Howell B. 🟨,
89', Barbosa D. 🟨,
90+4', 5 - 1, Camara A. ⚽, Kamara J. (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 15).

Hearts of Pine is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Richmond Kickers has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Hearts of Pine may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hearts of Pine is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hearts of Pine won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43:53	-10	31
17	Richmond Kickers	29	6	5	18	30:60	-30	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One
19.06.26	Westchester SC - Portland Hearts of Pine	5:1 ✺
13.06.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
07.06.26	Brooklyn - Portland Hearts of Pine	5:1 ✺
USL League One
03.06.26	Corpus Christi - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:2 ✺
30.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Spokane Velocity	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW
- Richmond Kickers
USL League One
20.06.26	Richmond Kickers - Fort Wayne	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Corpus Christi - Richmond Kickers	1:0 ✺
10.06.26	Boise - Richmond Kickers	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Loudoun United - Richmond Kickers	2:0 ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Richmond Kickers - Boise	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
17.09.25	Richmond Kickers - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:5
09.08.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Richmond Kickers	0:0

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