Match Info

USL League One

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Fitzpatrick Stadium (Portland, ME)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Portland Hearts of Pine		Chattanooga Red Wolves

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.20	2.30
	2.40	3.20	2.60
	2.77	3.36	2.34
	2.81	3.33	2.41	Watch
	2.70	3.00	2.30
	2.70	3.24	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.4)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.38 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Hearts of Pine
33.9%

Draw
28.1%

Chattanooga Red Wolves
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.2%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Portland Hearts of Pine - Chattanooga Red Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morse H. (G) 6. Mohamed M. 22. Evans B. 44. Faye S. 99. Drack J. 66. Green K. 98. Kidd M. 11. Kamara J. 16. Gonzalez D. 10. Wright O. (C) 9. Camara A.	1. Smith J. (G) 11. Ramos J. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 23. Lelin Y. 7. Hernandez O. 17. Tapia O. 21. Acosta M. 30. Lombardi A. 14. Hernandez P. 10. Bentley M.
Substitutes
25. Espinosa E. 21. Georgallides K. 35. Huck T. 2. Jones-Riley J. 23. Oladapo K. (G) 8. Poon-Angeron M. 7. Varela W.	2. Adewole T. 12. Jerez R. (G) 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 20. Mensah R. 9. Mercer G. 6. Wessels W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Morse H. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽, Kamara J. (A),
60', Lombardi A. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
63', Green K. ↓, Poon-Angeron M. ↑,
63', Mohamed M. ↓, Jones-Riley J. ↑,
72', Lelin Y. ↓, Adewole T. ↑,
72', Tapia O. ↓, Wessels W. ↑,
72', Acosta M. ↓, Kelly-Rosales A. ↑,
82', Camara A. ↓, Varela W. ↑,
82', Kamara J. ↓, Huck T. ↑,
86', Bentley M. ↓, Mensah R. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Hernandez P. ⚽, Wessels W. (A),
90+2', Hernandez O. 🟨,
90+2', Kidd M. 🟨,
90+9', Kidd M. ↓, Georgallides K. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13).

In recent matches, Hearts of Pine has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chattanooga is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hearts of Pine may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hearts of Pine won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43:53	-10	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL Cup
07.06.26	Brooklyn - Portland Hearts of Pine	5:1 ✺
USL League One
03.06.26	Corpus Christi - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:2 ✺
30.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Spokane Velocity	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Greenville Triumph	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Rhode Island	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWTW
- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL Cup
10.06.26	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
30.05.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence	2:3 ✺
27.05.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Richmond Kickers	5:0 ✺
23.05.26	Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Birmingham Legion	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
01.11.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Portland Hearts of Pine	0:1
13.09.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:1
07.06.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:1

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