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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 35.1%
Draw 25.2%
Los Angeles 39.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.3%
22.9%
54.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22%
22.6%
55.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers's performance.
Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
0%
81.8%
Portland Timbers - Los Angeles Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Portland (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Los Angeles will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Portland (votes: 1 - 50%). Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Pantemis J. (G) 5. Bye B. 20. Surman F. 6. Bonetig A. 27. Fory J. 17. Bassett C. 30. Caicedo J. 99. Velde K. 10. Da Costa D. 11. Antony 9. Mora F. (C)
12. Hasal T. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. (C) 45. Nielsen K. 91. Nkosi Tafari 29. Smolyakov A. 66. Choiniere M. 22. Terry J. 70. Evans M. 19. Boyd T. 27. Ordaz N. 99. Bouanga D.
Substitutes
28. Aravena A. 21. Chara D. 19. Kelsy K. 7. Lassiter A. 15. Miller E. 4. Miller K. 25. Muse T. (G) 80. Ortiz J. 23. Smith I.
31. Carter C. (G) 8. Delgado M. 17. Ebobisse J. 30. Martinez D. 5. Porteous R. 21. Raposo R. 4. Segura E. 18. Shaffelburg J. 11. Tillman T.
Coaches
Neville P.
Dos Santos M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Fory J. 🟨,
14', Evans M. 🟨,
30', Hasal T. ↓, Carter C. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Velde K. ⚽, Bassett C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Choiniere M. ↓, Tillman T. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Terry J. ⚽, Evans M. (A),
56', Nielsen K. ↓, Porteous R. ↑,
56', Evans M. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
58', Smolyakov A. 🟨,
64', Fory J. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
68', Bouanga D. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
71', Antony ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
76', Smolyakov A. ↓, Raposo R. ↑,
82', Velde K. 🟨,
89', Bassett C. ↓, Lassiter A. ↑,
89', Mora F. ↓, Kelsy K. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Kelsy K. ⚽, Bye B. (A),
90+6', Velde K. ↓, Chara D. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.
Portland is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Los Angeles is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Los Angeles is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Portland: Fernandez O.
(Foot Injury)
McGraw Z.
(Back Injury)
There will not play in Los Angeles: Dellavalle L.
(Knee Injury)
Eustaquio S.
(Leg Injury)
Igor Jesus
(Knee Injury)
Long A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Portland: Bassett C.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:35. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Los Angeles - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.81%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
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Pantemis J. (G) 
Bye B. 
Surman F. 
Bonetig A. 
Fory J. 
Velde K. 
Da Costa D. 
Antony 
Mora F. (C) 
Smolyakov A. 
Evans M. 
Ordaz N. 
Bouanga D. 
Kelsy K. 
Lassiter A. 
Ortiz J. 
Porteous R. 
Neville P. 
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