Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Portmany		Alcúdia

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.5	3.8
	1.81	3.75	3.65
	2.03	2.81	4.31	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.74	3.58	4.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.95)	3.41 ↑ (3.12)	3.94 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portmany
50.1%

Draw
26.8%

Alcúdia
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portmany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Alcúdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portmany than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Portmany - Alcúdia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 13)

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Alcúdia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Portmany might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portmany won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Portmany won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Alcudia	5	2	0	3	10:11	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Portmany
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
05.04.26	Mallorca B - Portmany	5:0 ✺
28.03.26	Portmany - Platges de Calvià	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Formentera - Portmany	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Portmany - Mercadal	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Portmany - Inter Ibiza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTW
- UE Alcúdia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
01.04.26	Alcúdia - Rotlet Molinar	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Collerense - Alcúdia	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Alcúdia - Santanyí	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Son Cladera - Alcúdia	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Constancia - Alcúdia	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
06.12.25	Alcúdia - Portmany	0:0
30.11.24	Portmany - Alcúdia	2:2
18.02.24	Alcúdia - Portmany	2:0

Portmany - Alcúdia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide