Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Porto B		AVS

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.4
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.15	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.13	3.4	3.7
	2.13	3.4	3.7
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.04	3.4	3.4
	2.1	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.28)	3.35 ↑ (3.35)	3.37 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto B
44.5%

Draw
27.8%

AVS
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Porto B - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). AVS will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto B: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Meixedo F. (G) 72. Pinheiro R. 44. Correia R. (C) 73. Bras G. 85. Varela N. 87. Folha B. 62. Fernandes R. 98. Abraham M. 67. Sousa V. 96. Gui Guedes 50. Wendell	88. Trigueira P. (G) 22. Leo Alaba 40. Clayton 41. Correia A. 98. Ze Ricardo 47. Lucca J. 6. Pacheco F. 8. Bernardo 10. Dioh I. 26. Lopes V. 18. Nene (C)
Substitutes
46. Braima 95. Cande A. 52. Fernandes M. 78. Meireles J. 86. Mora R. 68. Oliveira A. 91. Ribeiro G. (G) 49. Sousa G.	20. Amorim J. 77. Carlos Daniel 25. Dias R. 2. Fonseca F. 17. John Mercado 23. Mendonca G. 9. Sangare B. 93. Simao (G) 5. Teixeira J.
Coaches
Folha A.	Costa J.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Porto B is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches AVS is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Porto B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Porto B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
02.12.23	Oliveirense - Porto B	1:3 ✺
25.11.23	Porto B - Académico de Viseu	3:0 ✺
11.11.23	Penafiel - Porto B	3:2 ✺
04.11.23	Porto B - Feirense	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Vilaverdense - Porto B	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWW
- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese Liga 2
02.12.23	AVS - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	AVS - Nacional	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Santa Clara - AVS	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	AVS - Oliveirense	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Feirense - AVS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW

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