The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Penafiel 46.3%
Draw 28.2%
Porto B 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
28.6%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
27.3%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penafiel's performance.
Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Penafiel - Porto B Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Femenias J. (G) 5. Sanchez J. 3. Mere J. 2. lano Imbene 20. Santos A. 21. Pedro Sa 8. Reko (C) 14. Pereira B. 7. Anzai S. 28. Schutte R. 37. Davo
91. Ribeiro G. (G) 76. Rodrigues D. 73. Bras G. (C) 44. Felipe Silva 80. Henrique Kaio 92. Teixeira J. 88. Andrade D. 64. Gomes L. 59. Andrade T. 43. Melnichenko T. 49. Sousa G.
Substitutes
19. Alcaina R. 75. Alloh T. 17. Kebe I. 4. Miguel J. 33. Moreira C. 27. Negrao G. 1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 95. Sery J. 34. Ze Leite
82. Cassama A. 57. Cunha D. 51. Fernandes D. (G) 60. Fernandes F. 53. Ferreira E. 66. Lima B. 89. Mide M. 55. Pereira Y. 54. Ribeiro A.
Coaches
Aira J.
Brandao J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Reko 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Reko (Penalty Awarded),
45+11', Pedro Sa 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mere J. ↓, Miguel J. ↑,
59', Bras G. ↓, Lima B. ↑,
59', Henrique Kaio ↓, Pereira Y. ↑,
67', Schutte R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
67', Santos A. ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
70', Teixeira J. ↓, Fernandes F. ↑,
71', Andrade T. ↓, Ferreira E. ↑,
75', Pedro Sa ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Ze Leite ⚽,
78', Sousa G. ↓, Cunha D. ↑,
78', Melnichenko T. ↓, Cassama A. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Ze Leite ⚽,
82', Reko ↓, Alloh T. ↑,
82', Pereira B. ↓, Moreira C. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Penafiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Penafiel could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
Portugal
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Femenias J. (G) 
lano Imbene 
Pedro Sa 
Anzai S. 
Felipe Silva 
Andrade D. 
Melnichenko T. 
Alloh T. 
Kebe I. 
