Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter


	Santa Clara		AVS

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.9	7.5	Watch
	1.5	3.95	6.4	Watch
	1.54	3.92	6.94
	1.62	3.48	6.25	Watch
				Watch
	1.53	4.03	7.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.48)	3.86 ↑ (3.85)	6.97 ↓ (7.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
61.9%

Draw
24.5%

AVS
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

24.2%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

23%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Santa Clara - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: Santa Clara will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santa Clara will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 13. Rocha L. 64. Paulo Victor 23. Lima S. 42. Lucas Soares 6. Adriano Firmino 35. Serginho 8. Ferreira P. 70. Vinicius Lopes 29. Wendell 11. Brenner	99. Joao Goncalves (G) 2. Spencer D. 42. Devenish C. 4. Bane S. 24. Kiki (C) 15. Grau J. 6. Assuncao G. 11. Akinsola T. 8. Pedro Lima 16. Kodisang K. 7. Tomane
Substitutes
50. Afonso J. (G) 17. Costa J. 2. Diogo Calila 7. Elias Manoel 10. Gabriel Silva 28. Luquinhas 3. Matheus Pereira 65. Tavares J. 21. Venancio F.	10. Barbosa R. 19. Galletto T. 17. Lourenco B. 23. Mendonca G. 18. Nene 3. Paulo Vitor 14. Perea O. 12. Rivas D. 93. Simao (G)
Coaches
Matos V.	Sousa J. P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Devenish C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', Kodisang K. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
66', Akinsola T. ↓, Lourenco B. ↑,
67', Brenner ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
67', Wendell ↓, Costa J. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Serginho (Pen),
73', Kiki ↓, Rivas D. ↑,
74', Pedro Lima ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
74', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Vinicius Lopes ⚽, Costa J. (A),
84', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
84', Ferreira P. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
84', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
90+3', Paulo Victor 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Recent performances by Santa Clara have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AVS has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Santa Clara is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in AVS: Molina G. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
04.10.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Santa Clara - Tondela	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Santa Clara - Alverca	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Benfica - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Estoril Praia - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LLWTW
- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
04.10.25	AVS - Alverca	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Estrela da Amadora - AVS	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	AVS - Benfica	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Estoril Praia - AVS	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	AVS - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
08.02.25	AVS - Santa Clara	1:2
31.08.24	Santa Clara - AVS	2:1
Portuguese Liga 2
30.03.24	AVS - Santa Clara	1:2
11.11.23	Santa Clara - AVS	2:1

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