Match Info
Serie D - Round 9Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Porto SC |
|
Tombense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.14 |
3.1 |
1.85 |
|
 |
4.27 |
3.1 |
1.89 |
|
 |
4 |
3 |
1.85 |
|
 |
4.25 |
3.05 |
1.86 |
|
 |
3.55 |
3.05 |
2.04 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.04 ↑
(3.55) |
3.06 ↑
(3.05) |
1.9 ↓
(2.04) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Porto SC
22.5% | Draw
29.7% | Tombense
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto SC than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-3.7%)Porto SC - Tombense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Cesinha ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Luiz Felipe ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', 1 - 2, Joao Vitor ⚽,
- 80', 1 - 3, Matheus Chaves (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Recent form of Porto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Tombense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Tombense might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Porto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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