Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League A - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Denmark	TV2, TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	L'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	SINDOnews TV
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 4
Portugal	RTP 1, RTP, Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, VIX App


	Portugal		Denmark

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5.75
	1.53	3.9	5.5
	1.59	4.3	6
	1.64	4.02	5.63	Watch
	1.62	4.37	5.96	Watch
	1.59	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.47)	4.2 ↑ (3.9)	5.81 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Nations League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Portugal
60.6%

Draw
22.8%

Denmark
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

23.6%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Denmark has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.6%	7.9%	4.5%

Portugal - Denmark Predictions

Users Predictions: Portugal will win (76 of 87 users predict this - 87.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.38% – 94.34%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Costa D. (G) FC Porto 5. Dalot D. Manchester United 3. Dias R. Manchester City 14. Inacio G. Sporting Lisbon 19. Mendes N. PSG 10. Silva B. Manchester City 23. Vitinha PSG 8. Fernandes B. Manchester United 16. Conceicao F. Juventus 7. Ronaldo C. (C) Al Nassr 17. Leao R. AC Milan	1. Schmeichel K. (C) Celtic 13. Kristensen R. Eintracht Frankfurt 2. Andersen J. Fulham 3. Vestergaard J. Leicester 7. Dorgu P. Manchester United 10. Eriksen C. Manchester United 21. Hjulmand M. Sporting Lisbon 15. Norgaard C. Brentford 8. Isaksen G. Lazio 9. Hojlund R. Manchester United 18. Lindstrom J. Everton
Substitutes
21. Diogo Jota Liverpool 11. Joao Felix AC Milan 15. Neves J. PSG 18. Neves R. Al Hilal 6. Palhinha J. Bayern Munich 13. Quenda G. Sporting Lisbon 9. Ramos G. PSG 12. Sa J. (G) Wolves 2. Semedo N. Wolves 4. Silva A. Benfica 22. Silva R. (G) Sporting Lisbon 20. Trincao Sporting Lisbon	12. Biereth M. Monaco 6. Frendrup M. Genoa 23. Froholdt V. FC Copenhagen 20. Harder C. Sporting Lisbon 16. Hermansen M. (G) Leicester 17. Hogsberg L. Nordsjaelland 22. Jorgensen F. (G) Chelsea 5. Kristiansen V. Leicester 4. Nelsson V. AS Roma 11. Skov Olsen A. Wolfsburg 19. Wind J. Wolfsburg
Coaches
Martinez R.	Riemer B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Ronaldo C. (Pen),
38', 1 - 0, Andersen J. (Own goal), Fernandes B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', Eriksen C. 🟨,
50', Dias R. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Kristensen R. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
62', Leao R. ↓, Diogo Jota ↑,
65', Lindstrom J. ↓, Skov Olsen A. ↑,
66', Norgaard C. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Ronaldo C. ⚽,
73', Hojlund R. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
73', Isaksen G. ↓, Kristiansen V. ↑,
75', Diogo Jota 🟨,
76', 2 - 2, Eriksen C. ⚽, Dorgu P. (A),
81', Dalot D. ↓, Trincao ↑,
81', Conceicao F. ↓, Semedo N. ↑,
83', Norgaard C. ↓, Froholdt V. ↑,
83', Eriksen C. ↓, Frendrup M. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Trincao ⚽, Mendes N. (A),
90+2', Ronaldo C. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
91', 4 - 2, Trincao ⚽, Ramos G. (A),
97', Dorgu P. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
99', Vitinha ↓, Neves R. ↑,
105+3', Andersen J. 🟨,
115', 5 - 2, Ramos G. ⚽, Diogo Jota (A),
120+1', Vestergaard J. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

In this match Portugal is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portugal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.4:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal
UEFA Nations League
20.03.25	Denmark - Portugal	1:0 ✺
18.11.24	Croatia - Portugal	1:1 ✺
15.11.24	Portugal - Poland	5:1 ✺
15.10.24	Scotland - Portugal	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Poland - Portugal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWTW
- Denmark
UEFA Nations League
20.03.25	Denmark - Portugal	1:0 ✺
18.11.24	Serbia - Denmark	0:0 ✺
15.11.24	Denmark - Spain	1:2 ✺
15.10.24	Switzerland - Denmark	2:2 ✺
12.10.24	Spain - Denmark	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
20.03.25	Denmark - Portugal	1:0
UEFA Euro
08.10.15	Portugal - Denmark	1:0
14.10.14	Denmark - Portugal	0:1
13.06.12	Denmark - Portugal	N/A

Portugal - Denmark: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide