Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Referee: Monterrubio Torres P. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Unión de Irun		UD Ourense

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.90	6.50
	1.43	4.10	5.75
	1.29	4.90	7.50
	1.45	4.45	7.30
	1.41	4.64	6.9	Watch
	1.43	3.95	7.20
	1.48	4.06	6.77
	1.43	4.00	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.58)	4.25 ↑ (3.84)	6.72 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
64.7%

Draw
21.6%

UD Ourense
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

24.1%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

23.3%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Unión de Irun's performance.

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Real Unión de Irun - UD Ourense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tena J. (C) 2. Fontan J. 8. Alvarez P. 4. Pola J. 21. Albizua U. 23. Sangalli L. 6. Gaubeka B. 22. de la Mata J. 20. Martin A. 11. Galarza A. 7. Garcia U.	1. Vizoso M. (G) 6. Gonzalez N. 4. Labrada J. 5. Varo 3. Cabrera J. 17. Dominguez X. 14. Champi (C) 22. Tejon D. 16. Bastida A. 10. Ferreiro D. 11. Baldrich S.
Substitutes
19. Azkune E. 13. Emery L. (G) 26. Hussaini Muhammad M. 28. Mancisidor M. 5. Martinez G. 3. Mateo A. 17. Medina U. 9. Ruiz P. 14. Tallal Y.	18. Carro C. 23. Curras R. 7. Gandarillas M. 21. Irazu I. 28. Janeiro H. 19. Pardo S. 13. Rielo B. (G) 26. Soriano A.
Coaches
Gil R.	Carballo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Galarza A. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Tejon D. 🟨,
35', Labrada J. 🟨,
45+8', de la Mata J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', de la Mata J. ↓, Mancisidor M. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Dominguez X. ⚽,
59', Cabrera J. 🟨,
61', Gaubeka B. ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
61', Albizua U. ↓, Mateo A. ↑,
61', Dominguez X. ↓, Carro C. ↑,
78', Champi ↓, Irazu I. ↑,
78', Fontan J. ↓, Medina U. ↑,
82', Gonzalez N. ↓, Pardo S. ↑,
82', Ferreiro D. ↓, Curras R. ↑,
83', Martin A. 🟨,
85', Alvarez P. ↓, Hussaini Muhammad M. ↑,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 19th in the Relegation).

Real Unión has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

UD Ourense is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The betting markets point to Real Unión as the clear and undisputed favorite.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	R. Union	6	2	2	2	13:11	2	8
19	UD Ourense	6	0	2	4	2:10	-8	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Real Unión de Irun - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ferrol - Real Unión de Irun	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	2:4 ✺
30.08.26	Real Unión de Irun - Coria	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLWW
- UD Ourense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.09.26	UD Ourense - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - UD Ourense	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	UD Ourense - UD Logroñés	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Mirandés - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	UD Ourense - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

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