Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Unión de Irun		Lugo

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.9
	2.3	2.95	2.8
	2.45	3.1	2.85
	2.4	3.04	2.92	Watch
	2.38	3.08	2.97
	2.45	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.34)	3.05 ↓ (3.09)	2.88 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
38.3%

Draw
30%

Lugo
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

30%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Real Unión de Irun - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright J. (G) 2. Santos S. 6. Quintana A. 4. Olaortua I. 3. Marquez J. 21. San Bartolome V. 8. Bilbao I. 10. Rivero Q. 11. Obieta K. 20. Sergio Benito 7. Aranzabe A.	13. Cacharron P. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 23. Rodriguez J. 4. Ruiz E. 3. Zoilo A. 18. Gonzalez J. 8. Gonzalez Y. 24. Martinez R. 10. Cabo J. 15. Reniero N. 19. Afriyie J.
Substitutes
17. Cayarga B. 5. Dominguez J. 19. Eimil V. 22. Garrido D. 25. Perez C. (G)	5. Bernardo 21. Ceberio J. 7. Hernandez R. 1. Lavin M. (G) 9. Mendoza B. 17. Ochoa M. 33. Pereira P. 11. Perero G. 29. Rubal P. 20. Sanchez M. 22. Vaquero 14. Vidal D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Olaortua I. ⚽,
63', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
63', Gonzalez J. ↓, Perero G. ↑,
63', Afriyie J. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
63', Martinez R. ↓, Ceberio J. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Rivero Q. ⚽,
66', Santos S. ↓, Eimil V. ↑,
66', San Bartolome V. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
68', Cabo J. 🟨,
81', 3 - 0, Garrido D. ⚽,
82', Ruiz E. ↓, Vidal D. ↑,
85', Obieta K. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
85', Zoilo A. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
90+4', Aranzabe A. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
90+7', Lizancos A. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Unión won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Last Results with these Odds

Real Unión de Irun - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.5%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.04.25	Ponferradina - Real Unión de Irun	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Real Unión de Irun - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Ourense CF - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Real Unión de Irun - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTTLW
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.04.25	Lugo - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Lugo - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Ponferradina - Lugo	0:1 ✺
19.03.25	Celta de Vigo B - Lugo	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Lugo - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Lugo - Real Unión de Irun	3:1
03.02.24	Real Unión de Irun - Lugo	0:0
29.10.23	Lugo - Real Unión de Irun	2:0

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