Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Collado Fernandez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	19:00	Footballclub


	Real Unión de Irun		Lugo

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.30	3.00
	2.25	3.20	2.75
	2.28	3.20	2.70
	2.22	3.32	3.13
	2.61	3.28	2.62	Watch
	2.19	3.25	3.00
	2.18	3.43	3.12
	2.23	3.30	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.3)	3.29 ↑ (3.29)	2.91 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
40.6%

Draw
27.9%

Lugo
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Real Unión de Irun - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Emery L. (G) 2. Fontan J. 8. Alvarez P. 4. Pola J. 21. Albizua U. 28. Mancisidor M. 23. Sangalli L. (C) 7. Garcia U. 20. Martin A. 19. Azkune E. 11. Galarza A.	25. Embadje F. (G) 19. Lucero R. 18. Hermoso K. 5. Moreno P. 3. Haro P. 15. Parrilla P. 20. Ulloa A. 16. Palma A. 21. Berzal G. 17. Chiqui (C) 11. Dauda M.
Substitutes
22. de la Mata J. 6. Gaubeka B. 26. Hussaini Muhammad M. 5. Martinez G. 3. Mateo A. 27. Rodriguez O. (G) 9. Ruiz P. 32. Sanchez A.	13. Candal J. (G) 14. Gallar A. 10. Godoy A. 1. Martinez M. (G) 7. Morchiladze T. 22. Munoz M. 23. Pascual H. 8. Perera A. 24. Perez S. 6. Presa K. 2. Sanchez Martinez A. N.
Coaches
Gil R.	Borja Fernandez

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Azkune E. ⚽, Pola J. (A),
20', Sangalli L. 🟨,
32', Azkune E. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Berzal G. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
54', Lucero R. 🟨,
60', Parrilla P. ↓, Presa K. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Godoy A. ⚽, Haro P. (A),
70', 2 - 1, Pola J. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
72', Mancisidor M. ↓, Gaubeka B. ↑,
72', Albizua U. ↓, Mateo A. ↑,
74', Palma A. ↓, Gallar A. ↑,
74', Haro P. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
79', Presa K. 🟨,
81', Moreno P. ↓, Pascual H. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Garcia U. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
85', Martin A. ↓, de la Mata J. ↑,
85', Galarza A. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Sangalli L. ⚽, Mateo A. (A),
90+3', Azkune E. ↓, Hussaini Muhammad M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 13th and 1st in the Promotion - LaLiga2).

In recent outings, Real Unión has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Lugo is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Real Unión has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Unión against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lugo	9	7	1	1	16:8	8	22
8	R. Union	9	3	4	2	19:14	5	13

Last Results with these Odds

Lugo - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 32.79%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.10.26	CD Extremadura - Real Unión de Irun	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Real Unión de Irun - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Real Unión de Irun - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTTLT
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.10.26	Lugo - Deportivo A Coruña B	3:0 ✺
12.10.26	Lugo - UD Logroñés	3:1 ✺
02.10.26	Real Avilés - Lugo	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Lugo - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Zamora - Lugo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.04.25	Real Unión de Irun - Lugo	3:0
01.12.24	Lugo - Real Unión de Irun	3:1
03.02.24	Real Unión de Irun - Lugo	0:0
29.10.23	Lugo - Real Unión de Irun	2:0

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