Match Info
Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Portuguesa |
|
Caxias |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.47 |
3.7 |
6.5 |
|
 |
1.48 |
3.4 |
6.2 |
|
 |
1.47 |
3.48 |
6.95 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.4 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.52 |
3.66 |
6.4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(2.35) |
3.53 ↑
(2.7) |
6.31 ↑
(3.14) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Portuguesa
59.9% | Draw
25.7% | Caxias
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa's performance.Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caxias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1. Two teams are playing changeable. Caxias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently Caxias have a series of home games. In this match Portuguesa is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2. Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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