Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Portuguesa		Caxias

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.7	6.5
	1.48	3.4	6.2
	1.47	3.48	6.95
	1.62	3.4	5.5
	1.52	3.66	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (2.35)	3.53 ↑ (2.7)	6.31 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa
59.9%

Draw
25.7%

Caxias
14.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

33.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

25.6%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa's performance.

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caxias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Caxias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Caxias have a series of home games.

In this match Portuguesa is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Copa Paulista
17.09.21	São Caetano - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
14.09.21	Portuguesa - CA Juventus	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
12.09.21	Caxias - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	Cianorte - Portuguesa	0:0 ✺
28.08.21	Portuguesa - Madureira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLTW
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie D
12.09.21	Caxias - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	Caxias - Grêmio Juventus	1:1 ✺
29.08.21	Rio Branco PR - Caxias	1:2 ✺
21.08.21	Caxias - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
14.08.21	Caxias - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
12.09.21	Caxias - Portuguesa	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
20.09.15	Caxias - Portuguesa	1:2
18.07.15	Portuguesa - Caxias	3:0

Portuguesa - Caxias

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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