Match Info

VENEZUELA: Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)

Referee: Arteaga A. (Ven)


	Portuguesa Acarígua		Inter de Barinas

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.4	3.2
	2	3.5	3.4
	2.04	3.4	3.57
	2.04	3.44	3.51	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.3
	1.99	3.44	3.3	Watch
	2	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.84)	3.45 ↑ (3.28)	3.38 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Acarígua
46.2%

Draw
26.6%

Inter de Barinas
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

26.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Inter de Barinas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter de Barinas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter de Barinas than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	44.4%	0%

Portuguesa Acarígua - Inter de Barinas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portuguesa: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yustiz Y. (G) 88. Granados M. 3. Chirinos R. 17. Rodriguez D. (C) 6. Pantaleone N. 82. Cova N. 11. Moreno J. 5. Blanc G. 31. Moreno A. 28. Ramirez J. 77. Pena R.	12. Curiel L. (G) 33. Acuna M. 3. Urdaneta A. 26. Deusa J. 27. Rivera J. 23. Ruiz M. 15. Livingstone A. 20. Bolivar D. 17. Magallan C. (C) 10. Gomez D. 9. Ortiz K.
Substitutes
14. Colmenarez Y. 18. Gonzalez F. 32. Hernandez C. (G) 30. Mendoza R. 13. Moreno J. 8. Ramirez C. 34. Rivero M. 36. Salcedo S. 20. Sulbaran S.	21. Da Silva J. 18. Doldan J. 1. Forero A. (G) 24. Osorio J. 31. Pernia M. 32. Pimienta C. 8. Ramirez P. 30. Rivas J. 11. Torres A. 35. Urbina L. 2. Valladares I.
Coaches
Ortiz J.	Romero A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Pena R. 🟨,
21', Granados M. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Gomez D. (Pen),
23', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
28', Rivera J. 🟨,
32', Moreno J. (Pen),
44', 1 - 1, Pena R. ⚽, Ramirez J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Bolivar D. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
57', Livingstone A. 🟨,
67', Ramirez J. ↓, Colmenarez Y. ↑,
68', Pantaleone N. 🟨,
71', Moreno A. ↓, Sulbaran S. ↑,
72', Ortiz K. ↓, Urbina L. ↑,
72', Urdaneta A. ↓, Doldan J. ↑,
80', Pena R. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
81', Moreno J. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
81', Chirinos R. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
89', Magallan C. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Ramirez C. ⚽, Colmenarez Y. (A),

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 14).

Portuguesa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Inter de Barinas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Inter de Barinas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Portuguesa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Acarígua
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.08.24	Monagas - Portuguesa Acarígua	4:1 ✺
21.08.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Angostura	2:1 ✺
13.08.24	Deportivo Táchira - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Caracas	0:1 ✺
22.07.24	Academia Puerto Cabello - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLT
- Inter de Barinas
Venezuelan Primera Division
26.08.24	Inter de Barinas - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Inter de Barinas	1:0 ✺
13.08.24	Inter de Barinas - Metropolitanos	1:3 ✺
23.07.24	Inter de Barinas - Carabobo	0:4 ✺
16.07.24	Zamora - Inter de Barinas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
15.03.24	Inter de Barinas - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:3

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