Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - ROUND 28

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez (Acarigua)

Referee: Maya J. (Ven)


	Portuguesa Acarígua		Mineros de Guayana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.25	5	10	Watch
	1.29	4.95	10.76
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.26	5.15	10.75	Watch
	1.26	5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.56)	4.86 ↑ (3.79)	9.8 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Acarígua
71.7%

Draw
18.9%

Mineros de Guayana
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

24.2%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23.4%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Acarígua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa Acarígua's performance.

Mineros de Guayana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mineros de Guayana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa Acarígua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Guayana than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mineros de Guayana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Portuguesa Acarígua - Mineros de Guayana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yustiz Y. (C) 3. Chirinos R. 2. Lugarzo L. 17. Rodriguez D. 88. Granados M. 15. Livingstone A. 16. Lucena R. 11. Moreno J. 19. Romero A. 7. Rojas R. 9. Blanco R.	12. Ojeda D. (G) 28. Rodriguez Y. 16. Zaragoza P. 4. Uzcategui R. 3. Vera A. 18. Caraballo J. 15. Flores R. 8. Ruiz E. 30. Navas Barrera V. H. 10. Echeverria J. (C) 19. Perez L.
Substitutes
4. Caceres J. 14. Colmenarez Y. 24. El Khuffash L. 12. Fernandez S. (G) 6. Graterol A. 5. Manzano B. 23. Paez K. 8. Ramirez C. 27. Rivas J. 28. Rouse G. 20. Sulbaran S.	5. Baptista Rainieri J. A. 11. Cordero Y. 35. Hernandez R. 17. Morante C. 25. Saavedra A. 7. Sanchez J. 32. Valenzuela A. 2. Velasquez J. 1. Vijande F. (G)
Coaches
Ortiz J.	Cabello J.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Portuguesa is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Acarígua
Venezuelan Primera Division
17.09.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Portuguesa Acarígua	4:1 ✺
02.09.23	Portuguesa Acarígua - Caracas	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Deportivo La Guaira - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:2 ✺
20.08.23	Portuguesa Acarígua - Rayo Zuliano	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Deportivo Táchira - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTLT
- Mineros de Guayana
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.09.23	Mineros de Guayana - Rayo Zuliano	1:0 ✺
01.09.23	Universidad Central - Mineros de Guayana	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Mineros de Guayana - Zamora	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Mineros de Guayana	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Deportivo La Guaira - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
19.02.23	Mineros de Guayana - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:0
14.09.22	Mineros de Guayana - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:2
06.03.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Mineros de Guayana	0:2

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