Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - ROUND 26

Date: 1 September 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Gol TV


	Universidad Central		Mineros de Guayana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.4
	1.69	3.5	4.95
	1.7	3.25	4.8
	1.67	3.72	4.85	Watch
	1.75	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.1)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)	4.64 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Central
53.7%

Draw
26.6%

Mineros de Guayana
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

24.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Central's performance.

Mineros de Guayana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mineros de Guayana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Guayana than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mineros de Guayana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Universidad Central - Mineros de Guayana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Universidad Central will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Reyes J. (G) 32. Noguera H. 5. Umpierrez G. 4. Velasquez W. (C) 21. Gonzalez J. 24. Mendoza K. 15. Gonzalez K. 20. Martell L. 8. Blanco L. 36. Infante J. 28. Alvarado J.	12. Ojeda D. (G) 2. Velasquez J. 4. Uzcategui R. 3. Vera A. 14. Hernandez D. 11. Cordero Y. 18. Caraballo J. 8. Ruiz E. (C) 30. Navas Barrera V. H. 10. Echeverria J. 19. Perez L.
Substitutes
33. Ascanio J. 66. Carmona J. 16. De Sousa D. 12. Gonzales C. (G) 2. Graterol J. 11. Maldonado A. 10. Ocanto A. 7. Pena R. 14. Pinto J. 25. Polo Jean 71. Rivera J. 34. Rodriguez A.	5. Baptista Rainieri J. A. 26. Chacon J. 15. Flores R. 35. Hernandez R. 33. Pildain G. 28. Rodriguez Y. 7. Sanchez J. 1. Vijande F. (G) 16. Zaragoza P.
Coaches
Sasso D.	Cabello J.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad Central won 1.

Universidad Central is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mineros has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Universidad Central is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Universidad Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Central won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.08.23	Monagas - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
18.08.23	Universidad Central - Deportivo Táchira	1:2 ✺
11.08.23	Angostura - Universidad Central	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	Universidad Central - Hermanos Colmenares	2:1 ✺
28.07.23	Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTWL
- Mineros de Guayana
Venezuelan Primera Division
26.08.23	Mineros de Guayana - Zamora	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Mineros de Guayana	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Deportivo La Guaira - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Mineros de Guayana - Caracas	1:3 ✺
22.07.23	Carabobo - Mineros de Guayana	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
03.03.23	Mineros de Guayana - Universidad Central	2:0
21.07.22	Mineros de Guayana - Universidad Central	3:1
01.05.22	Universidad Central - Mineros de Guayana	0:2
03.09.21	Mineros de Guayana - Universidad Central	1:1
15.07.21	Universidad Central - Mineros de Guayana	1:0
29.05.21	Mineros de Guayana - Universidad Central	3:1

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