Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 13

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday


	Portuguesa RJ		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.8	3	4.5
	1.81	2.85	3.79
	1.74	3.28	4.85
	1.83	3.1	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.1)	3.07 ↑ (2.79)	4.33 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Portuguesa RJ
50%

Draw
29.3%

Athletic Club
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

32.2%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

33.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa RJ's performance.

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa RJ that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Portuguesa RJ - Athletic Club Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Portuguesa RJ is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Athletic is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Portuguesa RJ will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Portuguesa RJ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Serie D
08.07.23	Resende - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
01.07.23	Portuguesa RJ - Nova Iguaçu	2:2 ✺
24.06.23	Santo André - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
17.06.23	Vitória ES - Portuguesa RJ	0:1 ✺
14.06.23	Portuguesa RJ - Democrata GV	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTWW
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie D
08.07.23	Athletic Club - Democrata GV	1:0 ✺
01.07.23	Noroeste - Athletic Club	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	Athletic Club - Vitória ES	0:0 ✺
17.06.23	Santo André - Athletic Club	0:1 ✺
14.06.23	Athletic Club - Resende	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
13.05.23	Athletic Club - Portuguesa RJ	1:2

Upcoming Matches